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United Parcel Service
UPSIndustrialsGenerated Jul 5, 2026, 08:52 PM UTC
UPS (United Parcel Service) analytical snapshot. Return on equity 40.12%, ROA 9.57%, ROIC 22.68%. Net income down ▼ +41.9% YoY. Debt/equity 1.50, current ratio 1.21, net debt $17.78B. Market cap $79.00B at $110.66 per share. Trailing P/E 14.19, P/S 1.35, P/B 5.01. EV/Operating income ≈ 10.59 (EV $96.79B). Risk: Moderate. Macro: Risk-on · Supportive. Composite analytical score 9 (data confidence 82%). Descriptive analytics from public filings — not investment advice.
Free SEC analysis
— computed from SEC filings, free to readFundamentals
Return on equity 40.12%, ROA 9.57%, ROIC 22.68%. Net income down ▼ +41.9% YoY. Debt/equity 1.50, current ratio 1.21, net debt $17.78B.
- Return on equity 40.12%, ROA 9.57%, ROIC 22.68%.
- Net income down ▼ +41.9% YoY.
- Debt/equity 1.50, current ratio 1.21, net debt $17.78B.
| FY | Revenue | Rev YoY | Gross% | Op% | Net% | FCF | ROE% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | $58.23B | — | 0.00 | 8.53 | 5.21 | $3.40B | 122.75 |
| 2017 | $58.36B | +0.2% | 0.00 | 13.14 | 8.30 | $5.05B | 1196.05 |
| 2018 | — | — | — | — | — | $3.51B | 344.27 |
| 2019 | — | — | — | — | — | -$3.75B | 162.36 |
| 2020 | — | — | — | — | — | $6.43B | 146.65 |
| 2021 | — | — | — | — | — | $2.26B | 675.80 |
| 2022 | — | — | — | — | — | $5.05B | 9.42 |
| 2023 | — | — | — | — | — | $10.81B | 65.15 |
| 2024 | — | — | — | — | — | $9.34B | 66.73 |
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | — | $5.08B | 40.12 |
| Quarter end | Revenue | YoY | QoQ | Net margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2020 | $21.24B | -60.3% | — | 22.08% |
| Mar 31, 2021 | $22.91B | +27.0% | +7.9% | 20.92% |
| Jun 30, 2021 | $46.33B | +20.4% | +102.3% | 16.12% |
| Jun 30, 2021 | $23.42B | -39.1% | -49.4% | 31.88% |
| Sep 30, 2021 | $69.52B | +16.4% | +196.8% | 14.09% |
| Sep 30, 2021 | $23.18B | -61.2% | -66.6% | 42.26% |
Filings & Ownership
Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 17, 2026. Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed May 6, 2026. 15 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 17, 2026.
- Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed May 6, 2026.
- 15 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 0 sell transactions.
- ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference United Parcel Service; broad institutional reporting.
- Recent filers include Merit Financial Group, LLC, United Advisor Group, LLC, Capital Wealth Planning, LLC.
- 2 recent 13D activist/beneficial-ownership filings — potential catalyst.
- 18 recent 13G passive institutional ownership notices.
| Filer | Form | Filed |
|---|---|---|
| Merit Financial Group, LLC | 13F-HR | Aug 8, 2022 |
| United Advisor Group, LLC | 13F-HR | Feb 16, 2024 |
| Capital Wealth Planning, LLC | 13F-HR | May 10, 2017 |
| Capital Wealth Planning, LLC | 13F-HR | Nov 15, 2016 |
| Capital Wealth Planning, LLC | 13F-HR | Feb 13, 2019 |
| Date | Form | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 15, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| May 13, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| May 11, 2026 | 8-K | FORM 8-K - SHAREOWNERS MEETING |
| Apr 28, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Feb 6, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Sep 18, 2025 | 8-K | 8-K |
SEC Filing Deep-Analysis
3 risk signal(s), 1 positive signal(s) detected from XBRL filing diff analysis. Free cash flow declined despite stable or rising capex, indicating the cash burn is operational rather than investment-driven. This is a structural concern — cost reduction or asset sales may be needed to restore FCF.
- Free cash flow deteriorating: FCF declined +45.6% YoY (from $9.34B to $5.08B). With OCF at $10.24B and capex at $5.16B, cash generation capacity is weakening — monitor for dividend/buyback sustainability.
- Material weakness in internal controls: The term "material weakness" appears in 19 recent filing(s) (vs 2 in the prior period). This risk language is ongoing.
- NEW: Restatement of financial statements in latest filing: The term "restate" "financial statements" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 6 filing(s).
- Operating cash flow exceeds net income: OCF is 1.53x net income, indicating high earnings quality — cash conversion is strong and accruals are not inflating reported profits.
- Endogenous analysis: Free cash flow declined despite stable or rising capex, indicating the cash burn is operational rather than investment-driven. This is a structural concern — cost reduction or asset sales may be needed to restore FCF.
- 1 new XBRL disclosure(s) in latest filing — expanding reporting scope.
- 20 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
- 1 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Restatement of financial statements.
- Ongoing high-severity risk language: Material weakness in internal controls.
| Metric | Prior year | Latest year | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $58.23B | $58.36B | $131.0M | +0.2% |
| Operating income | $13.09B | $9.14B | $-3.95B | -30.2% |
| Net income | $11.55B | $6.71B | $-4.84B | -41.9% |
| Operating cash flow | $14.10B | $10.24B | $-3.87B | -27.4% |
| Capex | $4.77B | $5.16B | $389.0M | +8.2% |
| Total assets | $71.12B | $70.07B | $-1.05B | -1.5% |
| Long-term debt | $21.03B | $23.59B | $2.56B | +12.1% |
| Cash & equivalents | $3.21B | $6.11B | $2.91B | +90.6% |
| Stockholders equity | $17.31B | $16.72B | $-588.0M | -3.4% |
| Inventory | $935.0M | $826.0M | $-109.0M | -11.7% |
| Accounts receivable | $11.22B | $10.87B | $-345.0M | -3.1% |
| Interest expense | $701.0M | $694.0M | $-7.0M | -1.0% |
| Type | Concepts |
|---|---|
| Added | OtherComprehensiveIncomeOtherNetOfTax |
| Removed | AccountsReceivableGrossCurrent, AccruedIncomeTaxesCurrent, AllowanceForDoubtfulAccountsReceivablePeriodIncreaseDecrease, AmortizationOfIntangibleAssets, AntidilutiveSecuritiesExcludedFromComputationOfEarningsPerShareAmount, AssetImpairmentCharges, AvailableForSaleDebtSecuritiesAccumulatedGrossUnrealizedGainBeforeTax, AvailableForSaleDebtSecuritiesAccumulatedGrossUnrealizedLossBeforeTax, BusinessCombinationConsiderationTransferred1, CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalentsPeriodIncreaseDecreaseIncludingExchangeRateEffectContinuingOperations |
| Term | Severity | Recent | Prior | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Material weakness in internal controls | high | 19 | 2 | Ongoing |
| Restatement of financial statements | high | 6 | 0 | NEW |
| Impairment charge | medium | 67 | 7 | Ongoing |
| Restructuring | medium | 49 | 1 | Ongoing |
| Off-balance sheet arrangements | medium | 73 | 8 | Ongoing |
| Related party transactions | low | 10 | 0 | NEW |
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- ProValuationMarket cap $79.00B at $110.66 per share.
- ProPrice & TechnicalsPrice $110.66 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive.
- ProMacro & RatesMarket regime: Risk-on · Supportive.
- ProRisk ScorecardComposite risk: Moderate.
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Macro exposure
Cyclical / growth · High sensitivityMacro regime: Risk-on · Supportive. United Parcel Service is a cyclical / growth name (high macro sensitivity) — risk appetite favors cyclical/growth names.
Analytical read
deterministic previewMarket cap $79.00B at $110.66 per share..
Peer comparison
Cyclical / growth groupHow UPS stacks up against tracked peers with similar macro sensitivity — by analytical score and macro exposure.
| Company | Score | Macro |
|---|---|---|
| Marathon Petroleum MPC | 25 | Supportive |
| Nike Inc. NKE | 24 | Supportive |
| Airbnb Inc. ABNB | 22 | Supportive |
| Datadog Inc. DDOG | 16 | Supportive |
| Okta Inc. OKTA | 15 | Supportive |
| Valero Energy VLO | 13 | Supportive |
| Deere & Co. DE | 12 | Supportive |
| ASML Holding NV ASML | 10 | Supportive |
| Marriott International MAR | 10 | Supportive |
| GE Aerospace GE | 10 | Supportive |
| United Parcel Service UPS● you | 9 | Supportive |
| Snowflake Inc. SNOW | 8 | Supportive |
| Cloudflare Inc. NET | 8 | Supportive |
| NVIDIA Corp. NVDA | 7 | Supportive |
| Alphabet Inc. GOOGL | 7 | Supportive |
| General Motors Co. GM | 7 | Supportive |
| Booking Holdings BKNG | 6 | Supportive |
| Nucor Corp. NUE | 5 | Supportive |
| Shopify Inc. SHOP | 5 | Supportive |
| Ulta Beauty Inc. ULTA | 5 | Supportive |
| Pinterest Inc. PINS | 5 | Supportive |
| Amazon.com Inc. AMZN | 4 | Supportive |
| Microchip Technology MCHP | 3 | Supportive |
| Warner Bros Discovery WBD | 3 | Supportive |
| Adobe Inc. ADBE | 3 | Supportive |
| Intuit Inc. INTU | 2 | Supportive |
| General Dynamics GD | 1 | Supportive |
| Roku Inc. ROKU | 1 | Supportive |
| Lockheed Martin LMT | 0 | Supportive |
| Boeing Co. BA | 0 | Supportive |
| Hess Corp. HES | 0 | Supportive |
| MercadoLibre Inc. MELI | -1 | Supportive |
| EOG Resources EOG | -2 | Supportive |
| Applied Materials Inc. AMAT | -2 | Supportive |
| IBM Corp. IBM | -3 | Supportive |
| Energy Transfer ET | -3 | Supportive |
| Meta Platforms Inc. META | -4 | Supportive |
| Uber Technologies UBER | -4 | Supportive |
| Phillips 66 PSX | -4 | Supportive |
| United Airlines Holdings UAL | -5 | Supportive |
| Caterpillar Inc. CAT | -5 | Supportive |
| Alibaba Group BABA | -5 | Supportive |
| Comcast Corp. CMCSA | -6 | Supportive |
| TJX Cos. TJX | -6 | Supportive |
| Starbucks Corp. SBUX | -6 | Supportive |
| Schlumberger N.V. SLB | -7 | Supportive |
| Workday Inc. WDAY | -7 | Supportive |
| McDonald's Corp. MCD | -7 | Supportive |
| Micron Technology MU | -8 | Supportive |
| CF Industries CF | -8 | Supportive |
| Lam Research Corp. LRCX | -8 | Supportive |
| Albemarle Corp. ALB | -8 | Supportive |
| Delta Air Lines DAL | -8 | Supportive |
| Yum Brands Inc. YUM | -8 | Supportive |
| Linde plc LIN | -9 | Supportive |
| Home Depot Inc. HD | -10 | Supportive |
| Sherwin-Williams SHW | -10 | Supportive |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill CMG | -10 | Supportive |
| Old Dominion Freight ODFL | -10 | Supportive |
| Salesforce Inc. CRM | -11 | Supportive |
| Netflix Inc. NFLX | -12 | Supportive |
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| Advanced Micro Devices AMD | -19 | Supportive |
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| Chevron Corp. CVX | -22 | Supportive |
| T-Mobile US Inc. TMUS | -22 | Supportive |
| 3M Co. MMM | -23 | Supportive |
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| Honeywell International HON | -24 | Supportive |
| Qualcomm Inc. QCOM | -25 | Supportive |
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