Oracle Corp. (ORCL) 10-K Red Flags
Risk signals extracted deterministically from Oracle Corp.’s SEC 10-K/10-Q XBRL filings — no LLM, every finding cites the underlying data.
Detected red flags (17)
- Gross margin compression: Gross margin contracted +5.1%pp (from 47.5% to 42.3%). This may reflect input cost inflation, pricing pressure, or product mix shift toward lower-margin segments.
- Going concern doubt: The term "going concern" appears in 9 recent filing(s) (vs 2 in the prior period). This risk language is ongoing.
- Material weakness in internal controls: The term "material weakness" appears in 19 recent filing(s) (vs 2 in the prior period). This risk language is ongoing.
- NEW: Substantial doubt about ability to continue in latest filing: The term "substantial doubt" "ability to continue" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 1 filing(s).
- Operating cash flow exceeds net income: OCF is 1.78x net income, indicating high earnings quality — cash conversion is strong and accruals are not inflating reported profits.
- NEW: Off-balance sheet arrangements: Off-balance sheet arrangements appears in recent filings but not in the prior 24-month period. Monitor for materiality.
- Endogenous analysis: 4 risk signal(s) detected versus 1 positive signal(s). The balance of evidence suggests elevated filing-specific risk that warrants monitoring in subsequent filings.
- 20 new XBRL disclosure(s) in latest filing — expanding reporting scope.
- 9 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
- 2 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Substantial doubt about ability to continue, Off-balance sheet arrangements.
- Ongoing high-severity risk language: Going concern doubt, Material weakness in internal controls.
- Market cap $404.04B at $140.27 per share.
- Trailing P/E 37.81, P/S 7.63, P/B 9.51.
- Price $140.27 — downtrend (below 200-DMA); 1-month momentum negative.
- RSI(14) 14.90 (oversold).
- Gross margin compression: Gross margin contracted +5.1%pp (from 47.5% to 42.3%). This may reflect input cost inflation, pricing pressure, or product mix shift toward lower-margin segments.
- Going concern doubt: The term "going concern" appears in 9 recent filing(s) (vs 2 in the prior period). This risk language is ongoing.
Filings & ownership
- Latest annual report (10-K) filed Jun 22, 2026.
- Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Mar 11, 2026.
- 12 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 11 sell transactions — net selling $63.7M.
- ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference Oracle Corp.; broad institutional reporting.
- Recent filers include NIKE SECURITIES LP /IL/, FREMONT INVESTMENT ADVISORS INC, Rokos Capital Management LLP.
- 5 recent 13D activist/beneficial-ownership filings — potential catalyst.
- 15 recent 13G passive institutional ownership notices.
Full ORCL analyst report
Valuation (DCF & Graham), technicals, macro exposure, risk scorecard and 13F/13D ownership.
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