Oracle Corp. (ORCL) 10-K Red Flags
Risk signals extracted deterministically from Oracle Corp.’s SEC 10-K/10-Q XBRL filings — no LLM, every finding cites the underlying data.
Detected red flags (14)
- Gross margin compression: Gross margin contracted +4.0%pp (from 40.1% to 36.1%). This may reflect input cost inflation, pricing pressure, or product mix shift toward lower-margin segments.
- NEW: Going concern doubt in latest filing: The term "going concern" "substantial doubt" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 1 filing(s).
- NEW: Substantial doubt about ability to continue in latest filing: The term "substantial doubt" "ability to continue" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 1 filing(s).
- Operating cash flow exceeds net income: OCF is 1.87x net income, indicating high earnings quality — cash conversion is strong and accruals are not inflating reported profits.
- R&D intensity declining: R&D as % of revenue fell from 17.2% to 15.3%. This may signal reduced innovation investment — potentially impacting long-term competitive position. Compare with peer R&D trends.
- NEW: Off-balance sheet arrangements: Off-balance sheet arrangements appears in recent filings but not in the prior 24-month period. Monitor for materiality.
- Endogenous analysis: 3 risk signal(s) detected versus 1 positive signal(s). The balance of evidence suggests elevated filing-specific risk that warrants monitoring in subsequent filings.
- 20 new XBRL disclosure(s) in latest filing — expanding reporting scope.
- 9 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
- 3 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Going concern doubt, Substantial doubt about ability to continue, Off-balance sheet arrangements.
- Price $143.66 — downtrend (below 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive.
- RSI(14) 63.72.
- Gross margin compression: Gross margin contracted +4.0%pp (from 40.1% to 36.1%). This may reflect input cost inflation, pricing pressure, or product mix shift toward lower-margin segments.
- NEW: Going concern doubt in latest filing: The term "going concern" "substantial doubt" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 1 filing(s).
Filings & ownership
- Latest annual report (10-K) filed Jun 22, 2026.
- Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Mar 11, 2026.
- 12 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 11 sell transactions — net selling $63.7M.
- ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference Oracle Corp.; broad institutional reporting.
- Recent filers include NIKE SECURITIES LP /IL/, FREMONT INVESTMENT ADVISORS INC, Rokos Capital Management LLP.
- 5 recent 13D activist/beneficial-ownership filings — potential catalyst.
- 15 recent 13G passive institutional ownership notices.
Full ORCL analyst report
Valuation (DCF & Graham), technicals, macro exposure, risk scorecard and 13F/13D ownership.
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