ON Semiconductor Corp. (ON) 10-K Red Flags
Risk signals extracted deterministically from ON Semiconductor Corp.’s SEC 10-K/10-Q XBRL filings — no LLM, every finding cites the underlying data.
Detected red flags (17)
- Receivables outpacing revenue: Accounts receivable grew +47.7% YoY vs revenue growth of +0.7%. The +47.0% spread suggests extended credit terms, channel stuffing risk, or collection deterioration. Investigate the allowance for doubtful accounts and DSO trend.
- Gross margin compression: Gross margin contracted +15.9%pp (from 296.0% to 280.1%). This may reflect input cost inflation, pricing pressure, or product mix shift toward lower-margin segments.
- Free cash flow deteriorating: FCF declined +72.6% YoY (from $1.60B to $438.4M). With OCF at $1.98B and capex at $1.54B, cash generation capacity is weakening — monitor for dividend/buyback sustainability.
- Going concern doubt: The term "going concern" appears in 16 recent filing(s) (vs 1 in the prior period). This risk language is ongoing.
- Material weakness in internal controls: The term "material weakness" appears in 20 recent filing(s) (vs 2 in the prior period). This risk language is ongoing.
- NEW: Substantial doubt about ability to continue in latest filing: The term "substantial doubt" "ability to continue" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 1 filing(s).
- Endogenous analysis: Revenue grew +0.7% but receivables grew +47.7% — the receivables-to-revenue gap suggests growth may be partially driven by extended credit terms rather than genuine demand. If DSO continues to rise, a revenue reversal or bad-debt charge could follow.
- Endogenous analysis: Free cash flow declined despite stable or rising capex, indicating the cash burn is operational rather than investment-driven. This is a structural concern — cost reduction or asset sales may be needed to restore FCF.
- Endogenous analysis: The combination of explicit "going concern" language in the filing with deteriorating cash flow or rising leverage is a severe warning signal — the company's own auditors have flagged doubt about the ability to continue as a going concern.
- 7 new XBRL disclosure(s) in latest filing — expanding reporting scope.
- 20 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
- 3 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Substantial doubt about ability to continue, Restatement of financial statements, Off-balance sheet arrangements.
- Ongoing high-severity risk language: Going concern doubt, Material weakness in internal controls.
- Market cap $35.75B at $91.22 per share.
- Trailing P/E 18.65, P/S 25.78, P/B 4.90.
- Receivables outpacing revenue: Accounts receivable grew +47.7% YoY vs revenue growth of +0.7%. The +47.0% spread suggests extended credit terms, channel stuffing risk, or collection deterioration. Investigate the allowance for doubtful accounts and DSO trend.
- Gross margin compression: Gross margin contracted +15.9%pp (from 296.0% to 280.1%). This may reflect input cost inflation, pricing pressure, or product mix shift toward lower-margin segments.
Filings & ownership
- Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 9, 2026.
- Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed May 4, 2026.
- 18 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 0 sell transactions.
- ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference ON Semiconductor Corp.; broad institutional reporting.
- Recent filers include CADIAN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, CADIAN CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC, Stone Harbor Investment Partners LP.
- 20 recent 13G passive institutional ownership notices.
Full ON analyst report
Valuation (DCF & Graham), technicals, macro exposure, risk scorecard and 13F/13D ownership.
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