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Moderna Inc.

MRNAHealthcare

Generated Jul 5, 2026, 08:14 PM UTC

analytical score -4

MRNA (Moderna Inc.) analytical snapshot. 5-year revenue CAGR . Return on equity -24.65%, ROA -33.33%, ROIC -22.17%. Net income down ▼ +156.4% YoY. Market cap $31.65B at $79.76 per share. DCF not computed (no positive free cash flow reported). Risk: Moderate. Macro: Risk-on · Supportive. Composite analytical score -4 (data confidence 83%). Descriptive analytics from public filings — not investment advice.

Market cap
$31.65B
396.79M shares
Price
$79.76
NMS
P/E (ttm)
Revenue (FY)
Net margin
Free cash flow
-$3.83B
Risk level
Moderate

Free SEC analysis

— computed from SEC filings, free to read
Free previewFundamentals Analyst

Fundamentals

Fundamentals Analyst
score -5Stable
80% conf

5-year revenue CAGR . Return on equity -24.65%, ROA -33.33%, ROIC -22.17%. Net income down ▼ +156.4% YoY.

  • 5-year revenue CAGR .
  • Return on equity -24.65%, ROA -33.33%, ROIC -22.17%.
  • Net income down ▼ +156.4% YoY.
  • Debt/equity 0.08, current ratio 2.41, net debt -$1.32B.
Revenue (FY)
Net margin
ROE
-24.65%
ROA -33.33%
ROIC
-22.17%
EPS (diluted)
$-12.33
FY2025
Free cash flow
-$3.83B
Debt / equity
0.08
Cash $1.91B
Current ratio
2.41
Equity $7.41B
Annual fundamentals — up to 10 years (SEC 10-K, US-GAAP)
FYRevenueRev YoYGross%Op%Net%FCFROE%
2018$108.4M0.00-206.44-199.46$33.6M144.37
2019$205.8M+89.9%0.00-130.87-124.34-$389.9M76.44
2020$135.1M-34.4%0.00-305.97-284.84-$436.6M69.78
2021$60.0M-55.6%0.00-910.00-856.67-$491.0M-33.59
2022$803.0M+1238.3%0.00-95.02-93.03$1.96B-63.57
2023$13.34B476.45
2024$4.58B59.12
2025-$3.83B-24.65
Quarterly revenue trend (last 6 quarters, SEC 10-Q)
Quarter endRevenueYoYQoQNet margin
Jun 30, 2022$4.75B-24.5%123.27%
Sep 30, 2022$14.18B+25.9%+198.6%48.64%
Sep 30, 2022$3.36B-70.1%-76.3%205.02%
Mar 31, 2023$1.86B-69.3%-44.6%4.24%
Jun 30, 2023$2.21B-79.6%+18.5%-58.98%
Jun 30, 2023$344.0M-96.8%-84.4%-378.20%
Revenue (annual, SEC 10-K)
2018: 108
2019: 206
2020: 135
2021: 60
2022: 803
2023: 0
2024: 0
2025: 0
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Profitability trends (%)
-910.0-682.5-455.0-227.50.020182019202020212022202320242025
GrossOperatingNet
Free cash flow (annual)
2018: 34
2019: -390
2020: -437
2021: -491
2022: 1,959
2023: 13,336
2024: 4,581
2025: -3,825
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Free previewRegulatory Analyst

Filings & Ownership

Regulatory Analyst
score -10Stable
80% conf

Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 20, 2026. Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed May 1, 2026. 13 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.

  • Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 20, 2026.
  • Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed May 1, 2026.
  • 13 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
  • Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 2 sell transactions — net selling $2.9M.
  • ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference Moderna Inc.; broad institutional reporting.
  • Recent filers include Theleme Partners LLP, Theleme Partners LLP, Theleme Partners LLP.
  • 20 recent 13G passive institutional ownership notices.
Latest 10-K
Feb 20, 2026
Annual report
Latest 10-Q
May 1, 2026
8-K (recent)
13
Insider net
-$2.9M
0B/2S
13F filers
10k+
Activist 13D
0
Recent 13F institutional filers (SEC EDGAR full-text)
FilerFormFiled
Theleme Partners LLP13F-HRFeb 13, 2024
Theleme Partners LLP13F-HRMay 14, 2024
Theleme Partners LLP13F-HRNov 14, 2024
Theleme Partners LLP13F-HRAug 14, 2024
Flagship Pioneering, LLC13F-HRMay 15, 2026
Recent insider Form 4 activity
InsiderDateNetBuys/Sells
Hoge StephenJun 17, 2026-$2.7M0/1
Klinger Shannon ThymeJun 8, 2026-$173.6K0/1
Recent 8-K material events
DateFormDescription
May 11, 20268-K8-K
May 1, 20268-K8-K
Mar 5, 20268-K8-K
Feb 13, 20268-K8-K
Feb 11, 20268-K8-K
Jan 12, 20268-K8-K
Jan 5, 20268-K8-K
Nov 24, 20258-K8-K
Insider Form 4 sentiment (transactions)
Buys: 0
Sells: 2
Buys
Sells
Free previewSEC Filing Analyst

SEC Filing Deep-Analysis

SEC Filing Analyst
score -49Deteriorating
66% conf

3 risk signal(s), 1 watch item(s) detected from XBRL filing diff analysis. Free cash flow declined despite stable or rising capex, indicating the cash burn is operational rather than investment-driven. This is a structural concern — cost reduction or asset sales may be needed to restore FCF.

  • Free cash flow deteriorating: FCF declined +183.5% YoY (from $4.58B to $-3.83B). With OCF at $-3.12B and capex at $707.0M, cash generation capacity is weakening — monitor for dividend/buyback sustainability.
  • Material weakness in internal controls: The term "material weakness" appears in 7 recent filing(s) (vs 2 in the prior period). This risk language is ongoing.
  • NEW: Restatement of financial statements in latest filing: The term "restate" "financial statements" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 6 filing(s).
  • R&D intensity declining: R&D as % of revenue fell from 5491.7% to 603.4%. This may signal reduced innovation investment — potentially impacting long-term competitive position. Compare with peer R&D trends.
  • Endogenous analysis: Free cash flow declined despite stable or rising capex, indicating the cash burn is operational rather than investment-driven. This is a structural concern — cost reduction or asset sales may be needed to restore FCF.
  • 1 new XBRL disclosure(s) in latest filing — expanding reporting scope.
  • 20 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
  • 1 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Restatement of financial statements.
  • Ongoing high-severity risk language: Material weakness in internal controls.
Revenue
$803.0M
+1238.3% YoY
Operating income
$-4.24B
-145.0% YoY
Net income
$-4.71B
-156.4% YoY
Operating cash flow
$-3.12B
-162.6% YoY
Capex
$707.0M
+76.8% YoY
Total assets
$14.14B
-23.2% YoY
Total liabilities
$3.24B
-29.1% YoY
Long-term debt
$0
— YoY
Filing quality score
72/100
1 new disclosures
SEC XBRL metric changes (latest annual vs prior)
MetricPrior yearLatest yearChange% Change
Revenue$60.0M$803.0M$743.0M+1238.3%
Operating income$9.42B$-4.24B$-13.66B-145.0%
Net income$8.36B$-4.71B$-13.08B-156.4%
Operating cash flow$4.98B$-3.12B$-8.10B-162.6%
Capex$400.0M$707.0M$307.0M+76.8%
Total assets$18.43B$14.14B$-4.28B-23.2%
Total liabilities$4.57B$3.24B$-1.33B-29.1%
Long-term debt$0
Cash & equivalents$3.21B$2.91B$-298.0M-9.3%
Stockholders equity$14.14B$19.12B$4.98B+35.2%
Inventory$202.0M$117.0M$-85.0M-42.1%
Accounts receivable$892.0M$358.0M$-534.0M-59.9%
R&D expense$3.29B$4.84B$1.55B+47.0%
XBRL disclosure changes (new vs dropped concepts)
TypeConcepts
AddedLossContingencyAccrualAtCarryingValue
RemovedAdvertisingExpense, AllowanceForDoubtfulAccountsReceivableCurrent, AssetImpairmentCharges, CurrentFederalTaxExpenseBenefit, CurrentForeignTaxExpenseBenefit, CurrentIncomeTaxExpenseBenefit, CurrentStateAndLocalTaxExpenseBenefit, DeferredFederalIncomeTaxExpenseBenefit, DeferredForeignIncomeTaxExpenseBenefit, DeferredIncomeTaxExpenseBenefit
Risk language in filing text (EDGAR full-text search)
TermSeverityRecentPriorStatus
Material weakness in internal controlshigh72Ongoing
Restatement of financial statementshigh60NEW
Restructuringmedium61Ongoing
Off-balance sheet arrangementsmedium298Ongoing
Related party transactionslow70NEW
Filing signal breakdown
Red flags: 3
Positive: 0
Watch: 1
Red flags
Positive
Watch

Unlock the rest

  • Valuation
    Market cap $31.65B at $79.76 per share.
    Pro
  • Price & Technicals
    Price $79.76 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive.
    Pro
  • Macro & Rates
    Market regime: Risk-on · Supportive.
    Pro
  • Risk Scorecard
    Composite risk: Moderate.
    Pro

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3 sections free · 4 Pro sections locked · composite -4

Macro exposure

Defensive · Low sensitivity
Neutral

Macro regime: Risk-on · Supportive. Moderna Inc. is a defensive name (low macro sensitivity) — a supportive backdrop, though defensives lag risk-on tapes.

Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Yield curve
Normal
VIX
16.59
Fed funds
3.63%
CPI YoY
+4.2%

Analytical read

deterministic preview

Price $79.76 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive..

Risk
Moderate
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Macro exposure
Neutral
Descriptive analytics from public filings and macro data — not investment advice.

Peer comparison

Defensive group

How MRNA stacks up against tracked peers with similar macro sensitivity — by analytical score and macro exposure.

CompanyScoreMacro
Bristol-Myers Squibb BMY12Neutral
Cigna Group CI9Neutral
Procter & Gamble PG9Neutral
UnitedHealth Group UNH6Neutral
CVS Health Corp. CVS6Neutral
Zoetis Inc. ZTS3Neutral
Eli Lilly & Co. LLY3Neutral
Colgate-Palmolive CL1Neutral
Coca-Cola Co. KO1Neutral
Gilead Sciences GILD1Neutral
Intuitive Surgical Inc. ISRG-1Neutral
Moderna Inc. MRNA● you-4Neutral
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals REGN-4Neutral
DexCom Inc. DXCM-7Neutral
AbbVie Inc. ABBV-7Neutral
Johnson & Johnson JNJ-7Neutral
Vertex Pharmaceuticals VRTX-8Neutral
Kimberly-Clark Corp. KMB-10Neutral
Sysco Corp. SYY-10Neutral
Danaher Corp. DHR-11Neutral
Mondelez International MDLZ-11Neutral
Merck & Co. MRK-11Neutral
Biogen Inc. BIIB-11Neutral
Amgen Inc. AMGN-14Neutral
HCA Healthcare HCA-14Neutral
Illumina Inc. ILMN-16Neutral
Kroger Co. KR-16Neutral
Thermo Fisher Scientific TMO-18Neutral
Costco Wholesale COST-18Neutral
PepsiCo Inc. PEP-21Neutral
Walmart Inc. WMT-25Neutral
Hershey Co. HSY-26Neutral
Abbott Laboratories ABT-30Neutral
Pfizer Inc. PFE-49Neutral