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McDonald's Corp.

MCDConsumer Discretionary

Generated Jul 6, 2026, 10:01 PM UTC

analytical score -11

MCD (McDonald's Corp.) analytical snapshot. Revenue grew +3.7% YoY to $26.89B. 5-year revenue CAGR +3.0%; 10y CAGR +1.0%. Net margin at 31.85% (expanding ▲). Market cap $198.59B at $279.50 per share. Trailing P/E 23.39, P/S 7.39. EV/Operating income ≈ 19.16 (EV $237.39B). Risk: Moderate. Macro: Risk-on · Supportive. Composite analytical score -11 (data confidence 82%). Descriptive analytics from public filings — not investment advice.

Market cap
$198.59B
710.51M shares
Price
$279.50
NYQ
P/E (ttm)
23.39
Revenue (FY)
$26.89B
YoY +3.7%
Net margin
31.85%
▲ 5.20pp
Free cash flow
$7.19B
26.73% margin
Risk level
Moderate

Free SEC analysis

— computed from SEC filings, free to read
Free previewRegulatory Analyst

Filings & Ownership

Regulatory Analyst
score 0Stable
80% conf

Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 24, 2026. Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed May 7, 2026. 8 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.

  • Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 24, 2026.
  • Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed May 7, 2026.
  • 8 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
  • Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 3 sell transactions — net selling $2.4M.
  • ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference McDonald's Corp.; broad institutional reporting.
  • Recent filers include EASTERN BANK, EASTERN BANK, EASTERN BANK.
  • 1 recent 13D activist/beneficial-ownership filings — potential catalyst.
  • 19 recent 13G passive institutional ownership notices.
Latest 10-K
Feb 24, 2026
Annual report
Latest 10-Q
May 7, 2026
8-K (recent)
8
Insider net
-$2.4M
0B/3S
13F filers
10k+
Activist 13D
1
Recent 13F institutional filers (SEC EDGAR full-text)
FilerFormFiled
EASTERN BANK13F-HRJan 27, 2004
EASTERN BANK13F-HRApr 23, 2004
EASTERN BANK13F-HRJul 14, 2004
EASTERN BANK13F-HROct 6, 2004
EASTERN BANK13F-HRFeb 8, 2005
Recent insider Form 4 activity
InsiderDateNetBuys/Sells
Erlinger Joseph M.Jun 10, 2026-$1.5M0/1
Ralls-Morrison DesireeJun 1, 2026-$769.1K0/1
Erlinger Joseph M.May 27, 2026-$93.3K0/1
Recent 8-K material events
DateFormDescription
May 22, 20268-K8-K
May 7, 20268-K8-K
Feb 11, 20268-K8-K
Feb 10, 20268-K8-K
Nov 5, 20258-K8-K
Aug 27, 20258-K8-K
Aug 6, 20258-K8-K
May 23, 20258-K8-K
Insider Form 4 sentiment (transactions)
Buys: 0
Sells: 3
Buys
Sells
Free previewSEC Filing Analyst

SEC Filing Deep-Analysis

SEC Filing Analyst
score -20Deteriorating
64% conf

1 risk signal(s), 1 positive signal(s), 2 watch item(s) detected from XBRL filing diff analysis. 1 positive signal(s) versus 1 risk signal(s). The filing exhibits more constructive indicators than concerns, though individual risk factors should still be monitored.

  • NEW: Material weakness in internal controls in latest filing: The term "material weakness" "internal control" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 3 filing(s).
  • Operating cash flow exceeds net income: OCF is 1.23x net income, indicating high earnings quality — cash conversion is strong and accruals are not inflating reported profits.
  • NEW: Impairment charge: Impairment charge appears in recent filings but not in the prior 24-month period. Monitor for materiality.
  • NEW: Off-balance sheet arrangements: Off-balance sheet arrangements appears in recent filings but not in the prior 24-month period. Monitor for materiality.
  • Endogenous analysis: 1 positive signal(s) versus 1 risk signal(s). The filing exhibits more constructive indicators than concerns, though individual risk factors should still be monitored.
  • 1 new XBRL disclosure(s) in latest filing — expanding reporting scope.
  • 20 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
  • 3 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Material weakness in internal controls, Impairment charge, Off-balance sheet arrangements.
Revenue
$26.89B
+3.7% YoY
Operating income
$12.39B
+5.8% YoY
Net income
$8.56B
+4.1% YoY
Operating cash flow
$10.55B
+11.7% YoY
Capex
$3.37B
+21.3% YoY
Total assets
$59.52B
+7.9% YoY
Long-term debt
$39.97B
+4.0% YoY
Cash & equivalents
$774.0M
-28.7% YoY
Filing quality score
67/100
1 new disclosures
SEC XBRL metric changes (latest annual vs prior)
MetricPrior yearLatest yearChange% Change
Revenue$25.92B$26.89B$965.0M+3.7%
Operating income$11.71B$12.39B$681.0M+5.8%
Net income$8.22B$8.56B$340.0M+4.1%
Operating cash flow$9.45B$10.55B$1.10B+11.7%
Capex$2.77B$3.37B$590.0M+21.3%
Total assets$55.18B$59.52B$4.33B+7.9%
Long-term debt$38.42B$39.97B$1.55B+4.0%
Cash & equivalents$1.08B$774.0M$-311.0M-28.7%
Stockholders equity$-3.80B$-1.79B$2.01B+52.8%
Inventory$56.0M$61.0M$5.0M+8.9%
SG&A expense$2.86B$3.04B$181.0M+6.3%
Interest expense$1.51B$1.58B$76.0M+5.0%
XBRL disclosure changes (new vs dropped concepts)
TypeConcepts
AddedNumberOfReportableSegments
RemovedAllocatedShareBasedCompensationExpenseNetOfTax, AssetImpairmentCharges, BusinessAcquisitionCostOfAcquiredEntityTransactionCosts, CapitalizedComputerSoftwareNet, CertificatesOfDepositAtCarryingValue, CommercialPaper, CommonStockCapitalSharesReservedForFutureIssuance, ContractualObligation, ContractualObligationDueAfterFifthYear, ContractualObligationDueInFifthYear
Risk language in filing text (EDGAR full-text search)
TermSeverityRecentPriorStatus
Material weakness in internal controlshigh30NEW
Impairment chargemedium50NEW
Off-balance sheet arrangementsmedium10NEW
Filing signal breakdown
Red flags: 1
Positive: 1
Watch: 2
Red flags
Positive
Watch
Free previewFundamentals Analyst

Fundamentals

Fundamentals Analyst
score 35Improving
80% conf

Revenue grew +3.7% YoY to $26.89B. 5-year revenue CAGR +3.0%; 10y CAGR +1.0%. Net margin at 31.85% (expanding ▲).

  • Revenue grew +3.7% YoY to $26.89B.
  • 5-year revenue CAGR +3.0%; 10y CAGR +1.0%.
  • Net margin at 31.85% (expanding ▲).
  • Return on equity -478.11%, ROA 14.39%, ROIC 32.46%.
  • Gross margin 0.00%, operating margin 46.10%.
  • Free cash flow margin 26.73% ($7.19B).
  • Net income up ▲ +4.1% YoY.
  • Debt/equity -31.08, current ratio 1.14, net debt $38.80B.
  • Asset turnover 0.45 — capital efficiency.
Revenue (FY)
$26.89B
YoY +3.7%
Net margin
31.85%
▲ 5.20pp
ROE
-478.11%
ROA 14.39%
ROIC
32.46%
EPS (diluted)
$11.95
FY2025
Free cash flow
$7.19B
26.73% margin
Debt / equity
-31.08
Cash $1.17B
Current ratio
1.14
Equity -$1.29B
Annual fundamentals — up to 10 years (SEC 10-K, US-GAAP)
FYRevenueRev YoYGross%Op%Net%FCFROE%
2024$25.92B+1.7%0.0045.1931.72$6.67B-216.57
2025$26.89B+3.7%0.0046.1031.85$7.19B-478.11
Quarterly revenue trend (last 6 quarters, SEC 10-Q)
Quarter endRevenueYoYQoQNet margin
Jun 30, 2024$6.49B-0.1%31.16%
Sep 30, 2024$6.87B+2.7%+5.9%32.81%
Mar 31, 2025$5.96B-3.5%-13.3%31.36%
Jun 30, 2025$6.84B+5.4%+14.9%32.92%
Sep 30, 2025$7.08B+3.0%+3.4%32.18%
Mar 31, 2026$6.52B+9.4%-7.9%30.43%
+8 more years of history, charts & full breakdown Pro

Pro analysis — preview

— score, signals & key metrics shown; full reasoning locked

Valuation

Valuation Analyst
score -50Deteriorating
95% conf

Market cap $198.59B at $279.50 per share. Trailing P/E 23.39, P/S 7.39. EV/Operating income ≈ 19.16 (EV $237.39B).

  • Market cap $198.59B at $279.50 per share.
Market cap
$198.59B
710.51M shares
P/E (ttm)
23.39
P/S
7.39
P/B
EV
$237.39B
Intrinsic (DCF)
$173.98
-37.8% vs price
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked

Price & Technicals

Technical Analyst
score -50Deteriorating
85% conf

Price $279.50 — downtrend (below 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive. RSI(14) 45.44.

  • Price $279.50 — downtrend (below 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive.
Price
$279.50
NYQ
RSI(14)
45.44
50-DMA
$280.31
200-DMA
$303.38
Volatility (ann.)
17.65%
52w range
$264.53–$341.75
-18.2% from high
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked

Macro & Rates

Macro Analyst
score 15Stable
80% conf

Risk-on · Supportive. Real GDP growth 2.10% (quarterly, as of Jan 1, 2026). CPI inflation +4.2% YoY (above the Fed's long-run ~2% target). Fed funds rate 3.63%, 10Y Treasury 4.49%.

  • Market regime: Risk-on · Supportive.
GDP growth
2.10%
CPI (YoY)
+4.2%
Fed funds
3.63%
10Y yield
4.49%
10Y−2Y
0.35pp
Unemployment
4.20%
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked

Risk Scorecard

Risk Analyst
score -6Stable
83% conf

Composite risk Moderate. Leverage debt/equity -31.08 (low). Liquidity current ratio 1.14 (adequate).

  • Composite risk: Moderate.
Risk level
Moderate
Debt / equity
-31.08
Current ratio
1.14
Margin stdev
6.30pp
Cash / assets
1.95%
Liab / assets
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked

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Macro exposure

Cyclical / growth · High sensitivity
Supportive

Macro regime: Risk-on · Supportive. McDonald's Corp. is a cyclical / growth name (high macro sensitivity) — risk appetite favors cyclical/growth names.

Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Yield curve
Normal
VIX
15.81
Fed funds
3.63%
CPI YoY
+4.2%

Analytical read

deterministic preview

Revenue grew **+3.7%** YoY to $26.89B..

Risk
Moderate
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Macro exposure
Supportive
Descriptive analytics from public filings and macro data — not investment advice.

Peer comparison

Cyclical / growth group

How MCD stacks up against tracked peers with similar macro sensitivity — by analytical score and macro exposure.

CompanyScoreMacro
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