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ConocoPhillips

COPEnergy

Generated Jul 5, 2026, 08:08 PM UTC

analytical score -15

COP (ConocoPhillips) analytical snapshot. Revenue declined +28.5% YoY to $56.14B. 5-year revenue CAGR +8.9%; 10y CAGR +0.1%. Net margin at 19.52% (expanding ▲). Market cap $127.59B at $104.73 per share. Trailing P/E 11.56, P/S 2.27, P/B 1.98. EV/Operating income ≈ 25.19 (EV $144.51B). Risk: Moderate. Macro: Risk-on · Supportive. Composite analytical score -15 (data confidence 81%). Descriptive analytics from public filings — not investment advice.

Market cap
$127.59B
1.22B shares
Price
$104.73
NYQ
P/E (ttm)
11.56
Revenue (FY)
$56.14B
YoY -28.5%
Net margin
19.52%
▲ 33.90pp
Free cash flow
Risk level
Moderate

Free SEC analysis

— computed from SEC filings, free to read
Free previewFundamentals Analyst

Fundamentals

Fundamentals Analyst
score -5Stable
80% conf

Revenue declined +28.5% YoY to $56.14B. 5-year revenue CAGR +8.9%; 10y CAGR +0.1%. Net margin at 19.52% (expanding ▲).

  • Revenue declined +28.5% YoY to $56.14B.
  • 5-year revenue CAGR +8.9%; 10y CAGR +0.1%.
  • Net margin at 19.52% (expanding ▲).
  • Return on equity 22.83%, ROA 11.42%, ROIC 0.00%.
  • Gross margin 0.00%, operating margin 0.00%.
  • Net income down ▼ +41.3% YoY.
  • Debt/equity 0.35, current ratio 1.29, net debt $16.92B.
  • Asset turnover 0.46 — capital efficiency.
Revenue (FY)
$56.14B
YoY -28.5%
Net margin
19.52%
▲ 33.90pp
ROE
22.83%
ROA 11.42%
ROIC
0.00%
EPS (diluted)
$9.06
FY2025
Free cash flow
Debt / equity
0.35
Cash $5.88B
Current ratio
1.29
Equity $64.54B
Annual fundamentals — up to 10 years (SEC 10-K, US-GAAP)
FYRevenueRev YoYGross%Op%Net%FCFROE%
2016$55.52B0.0010.3412.37-$516.0M17.28
2017$30.93B-44.3%0.000.00-14.31-$2.48B-12.66
2018$24.36B-21.3%0.000.00-14.84-$466.0M-11.81
2019$32.58B+33.8%0.000.00-2.62$2.49B-2.68
2020$38.73B+18.9%0.000.0016.16$6.18B17.89
2021$36.67B-5.3%0.000.0019.60$4.47B
2022$18.78B-48.8%0.000.00-14.38$87.0M
2023$45.83B+144.0%0.000.0017.6327.07
2024$78.49B+71.3%0.000.0023.8041.14
2025$56.14B-28.5%0.000.0019.5222.83
Quarterly revenue trend (last 6 quarters, SEC 10-Q)
Quarter endRevenueYoYQoQNet margin
Mar 31, 2025$16.52B+19.3%17.25%
Jun 30, 2025$30.52B+11.1%+84.8%15.79%
Jun 30, 2025$14.00B-49.0%-54.1%34.42%
Sep 30, 2025$45.55B+12.4%+225.3%14.37%
Sep 30, 2025$15.03B-62.9%-67.0%43.55%
Mar 31, 2026$15.76B-4.6%+4.9%13.85%
Revenue (annual, SEC 10-K)
2016: 55,517
2017: 30,935
2018: 24,360
2019: 32,584
2020: 38,727
2021: 36,670
2022: 18,784
2023: 45,828
2024: 78,494
2025: 56,141
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Profitability trends (%)
-14.8-5.24.514.223.8201620182020202220242025
GrossOperatingNet
Free cash flow (annual)
2016: -516
2017: -2,478
2018: -466
2019: 2,486
2020: 6,184
2021: 4,468
2022: 87
2023: 0
2024: 0
2025: 0
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
Free previewRegulatory Analyst

Filings & Ownership

Regulatory Analyst
score 30Improving
80% conf

Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 17, 2026. Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Apr 30, 2026. 8 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.

  • Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 17, 2026.
  • Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Apr 30, 2026.
  • 8 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
  • Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 0 sell transactions.
  • ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference ConocoPhillips; broad institutional reporting.
  • Recent filers include Vermillion Asset Management LLC, Allen Investment Management LLC, INVESTORS TRUST CO /PA.
  • 17 recent 13D activist/beneficial-ownership filings — potential catalyst.
  • 3 recent 13G passive institutional ownership notices.
Latest 10-K
Feb 17, 2026
Annual report
Latest 10-Q
Apr 30, 2026
8-K (recent)
8
Insider net
0B/0S
13F filers
10k+
Activist 13D
17
Recent 13F institutional filers (SEC EDGAR full-text)
FilerFormFiled
Vermillion Asset Management LLC13F-HRAug 13, 2012
Allen Investment Management LLC13F-HRAug 8, 2007
INVESTORS TRUST CO /PA13F-HRJul 18, 2003
Vermillion Asset Management LLC13F-HRNov 13, 2012
Allen Investment Management LLC13F-HROct 29, 2007
Recent 8-K material events
DateFormDescription
Jun 23, 20268-KFORM 8-K
May 14, 20268-KFORM 8-K
Apr 30, 20268-K8-K
Feb 5, 20268-K8-K
Nov 6, 20258-K8-K
Aug 7, 20258-K8-K
Jul 1, 20258-KFORM 8-K
May 15, 20258-KFORM 8-K
Free previewSEC Filing Analyst

SEC Filing Deep-Analysis

SEC Filing Analyst
score -74Deteriorating
70% conf

6 risk signal(s), 2 positive signal(s), 1 watch item(s) detected from XBRL filing diff analysis. Revenue grew -28.5% but receivables grew +22.3% — the receivables-to-revenue gap suggests growth may be partially driven by extended credit terms rather than genuine demand. If DSO continues to rise, a revenue reversal or bad-debt charge could follow.

  • Receivables outpacing revenue: Accounts receivable grew +22.3% YoY vs revenue growth of -28.5%. The +50.8% spread suggests extended credit terms, channel stuffing risk, or collection deterioration. Investigate the allowance for doubtful accounts and DSO trend.
  • Inventory buildup exceeds sales growth: Inventory grew +29.4% vs revenue -28.5%. Excess inventory may signal weakening demand, potential write-downs, or supply chain overcommitment. Watch gross margin for discounting impact.
  • Free cash flow deteriorating: FCF declined +29.7% YoY (from $21.68B to $15.25B). With OCF at $19.96B and capex at $4.71B, cash generation capacity is weakening — monitor for dividend/buyback sustainability.
  • NEW: Going concern doubt in latest filing: The term "going concern" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 14 filing(s).
  • Material weakness in internal controls: The term "material weakness" appears in 20 recent filing(s) (vs 2 in the prior period). This risk language is ongoing.
  • NEW: Restatement of financial statements in latest filing: The term "restate" "financial statements" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 2 filing(s).
  • Endogenous analysis: Revenue grew -28.5% but receivables grew +22.3% — the receivables-to-revenue gap suggests growth may be partially driven by extended credit terms rather than genuine demand. If DSO continues to rise, a revenue reversal or bad-debt charge could follow.
  • Endogenous analysis: Free cash flow deterioration coincides with a -28.9% capex reduction. While lower capex temporarily preserves cash, it may signal underinvestment in growth assets — future revenue capacity could be constrained.
  • Endogenous analysis: Strong cash conversion (OCF > NI) combined with growing deferred revenue provides high forward visibility. The business model appears to generate sustainable, recurring cash flows — a positive structural indicator.
  • 1 new XBRL disclosure(s) in latest filing — expanding reporting scope.
  • 20 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
  • 3 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Going concern doubt, Restatement of financial statements, Off-balance sheet arrangements.
  • Ongoing high-severity risk language: Material weakness in internal controls.
Revenue
$56.14B
-28.5% YoY
Operating income
$5.74B
-28.1% YoY
Net income
$10.96B
-41.3% YoY
Operating cash flow
$19.96B
-29.5% YoY
Capex
$4.71B
-28.9% YoY
Total assets
$95.92B
+2.2% YoY
Total liabilities
$57.98B
+24.3% YoY
Long-term debt
$22.43B
— YoY
Filing quality score
72/100
1 new disclosures
SEC XBRL metric changes (latest annual vs prior)
MetricPrior yearLatest yearChange% Change
Revenue$78.49B$56.14B$-22.35B-28.5%
Operating income$7.98B$5.74B$-2.24B-28.1%
Net income$18.68B$10.96B$-7.72B-41.3%
Operating cash flow$28.31B$19.96B$-8.35B-29.5%
Capex$6.64B$4.71B$-1.92B-28.9%
Total assets$93.83B$95.92B$2.10B+2.2%
Total liabilities$46.65B$57.98B$11.34B+24.3%
Long-term debt$22.43B
Cash & equivalents$5.63B$5.61B$-28.0M-0.5%
Stockholders equity$45.41B$48.00B$2.60B+5.7%
Inventory$1.40B$1.81B$411.0M+29.4%
Accounts receivable$4.41B$5.40B$984.0M+22.3%
R&D expense$71.0M$81.0M$10.0M+14.1%
SG&A expense$623.0M$705.0M$82.0M+13.2%
Interest expense$791.0M$824.0M$33.0M+4.2%
XBRL disclosure changes (new vs dropped concepts)
TypeConcepts
AddedIncreaseDecreaseInPensionPlanObligations
RemovedAccountsReceivableNetNoncurrent, AccrualForEnvironmentalLossContingenciesDiscountRate, AccrualForEnvironmentalLossContingenciesGross, AllocatedShareBasedCompensationExpense, AssetRetirementObligation, AssetRetirementObligationAccretionExpense, AssetRetirementObligationCashPaidToSettle, AssetRetirementObligationForeignCurrencyTranslationGainLoss, AssetRetirementObligationLiabilitiesIncurred, AssetRetirementObligationLiabilitiesSettled
Risk language in filing text (EDGAR full-text search)
TermSeverityRecentPriorStatus
Going concern doubthigh140NEW
Material weakness in internal controlshigh202Ongoing
Restatement of financial statementshigh20NEW
Impairment chargemedium382Ongoing
Restructuringmedium757Ongoing
Off-balance sheet arrangementsmedium730NEW
Related party transactionslow1208Ongoing
Filing signal breakdown
Red flags: 6
Positive: 2
Watch: 1
Red flags
Positive
Watch

Unlock the rest

  • Valuation
    Market cap $127.59B at $104.73 per share.
    Pro
  • Price & Technicals
    Price $104.73 — downtrend (below 200-DMA); 1-month momentum negative.
    Pro
  • Macro & Rates
    Market regime: Risk-on · Supportive.
    Pro
  • Risk Scorecard
    Composite risk: Moderate.
    Pro

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3 sections free · 4 Pro sections locked · composite -15

Macro exposure

Cyclical / growth · High sensitivity
Supportive

Macro regime: Risk-on · Supportive. ConocoPhillips is a cyclical / growth name (high macro sensitivity) — risk appetite favors cyclical/growth names.

Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Yield curve
Normal
VIX
16.59
Fed funds
3.63%
CPI YoY
+4.2%

Analytical read

deterministic preview

Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 17, 2026..

Risk
Moderate
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Macro exposure
Supportive
Descriptive analytics from public filings and macro data — not investment advice.

Peer comparison

Cyclical / growth group

How COP stacks up against tracked peers with similar macro sensitivity — by analytical score and macro exposure.

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ConocoPhillips COP● you-15Supportive
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