CF Industries (CF) 10-K Red Flags
Risk signals extracted deterministically from CF Industries’s SEC 10-K/10-Q XBRL filings — no LLM, every finding cites the underlying data.
Detected red flags (7)
- Operating cash flow exceeds net income: OCF is 1.53x net income, indicating high earnings quality — cash conversion is strong and accruals are not inflating reported profits.
- Gross margin expansion: Gross margin expanded +3.8%pp (from 34.6% to 38.5%), indicating improved pricing power, cost efficiency, or favorable product mix.
- NEW: Off-balance sheet arrangements: Off-balance sheet arrangements appears in recent filings but not in the prior 24-month period. Monitor for materiality.
- Endogenous analysis: 2 positive signal(s) versus 0 risk signal(s). The filing exhibits more constructive indicators than concerns, though individual risk factors should still be monitored.
- 10 new XBRL disclosure(s) in latest filing — expanding reporting scope.
- 20 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
- 1 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Off-balance sheet arrangements.
Filings & ownership
- Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 25, 2026.
- Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Aug 6, 2026.
- 12 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 0 sell transactions.
- ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference CF Industries; broad institutional reporting.
- Recent filers include WINNOW WEALTH LLC, CTC Fund Management LLC, CTC Fund Management LLC.
- 17 recent 13D activist/beneficial-ownership filings — potential catalyst.
- 3 recent 13G passive institutional ownership notices.
Full CF analyst report
Valuation (DCF & Graham), technicals, macro exposure, risk scorecard and 13F/13D ownership.
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