Allstate Corp. (ALL) 10-K Red Flags
Risk signals extracted deterministically from Allstate Corp.’s SEC 10-K/10-Q XBRL filings — no LLM, every finding cites the underlying data.
Detected red flags (13)
- Earnings-cash flow divergence: Net income grew +85.4% while operating cash flow declined -17.4%. This divergence may indicate accrual-based earnings inflation — non-cash gains, aggressive revenue recognition, or working capital absorption. The accrual ratio (NI − OCF) is deteriorating.
- Going concern doubt: The term "going concern" appears in 4 recent filing(s) (vs 1 in the prior period). This risk language is ongoing.
- Material weakness in internal controls: The term "material weakness" appears in 19 recent filing(s) (vs 2 in the prior period). This risk language is ongoing.
- NEW: Substantial doubt about ability to continue in latest filing: The term "substantial doubt" "ability to continue" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 1 filing(s).
- NEW: Restatement of financial statements in latest filing: The term "restate" "financial statements" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 1 filing(s).
- Endogenous analysis: "Material weakness in internal controls" combined with earnings-cash flow divergence is especially concerning — it suggests the reported earnings may not be reliable due to control deficiencies, and the cash flow shortfall may be masking underlying issues.
- 20 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
- 2 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Substantial doubt about ability to continue, Restatement of financial statements.
- Ongoing high-severity risk language: Going concern doubt, Material weakness in internal controls.
- Composite risk: Elevated.
- Leverage debt/equity 0.24 (low).
- Earnings-cash flow divergence: Net income grew +85.4% while operating cash flow declined -17.4%. This divergence may indicate accrual-based earnings inflation — non-cash gains, aggressive revenue recognition, or working capital absorption. The accrual ratio (NI − OCF) is deteriorating.
- Going concern doubt: The term "going concern" appears in 4 recent filing(s) (vs 1 in the prior period). This risk language is ongoing.
Filings & ownership
- Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 20, 2026.
- Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Apr 29, 2026.
- 13 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 1 sell transactions — net selling $451.5K.
- ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference Allstate Corp.; broad institutional reporting.
- Recent filers include HomeField Capital, L.P., SCOTT & STRINGFELLOW FINANCIAL INC, MASTERS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC.
- 20 recent 13G passive institutional ownership notices.
Full ALL analyst report
Valuation (DCF & Graham), technicals, macro exposure, risk scorecard and 13F/13D ownership.
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