Autodesk Inc. (ADSK) 10-K Red Flags
Risk signals extracted deterministically from Autodesk Inc.’s SEC 10-K/10-Q XBRL filings — no LLM, every finding cites the underlying data.
Detected red flags (20)
- Free cash flow deteriorating: FCF declined +36.9% YoY (from $2.03B to $1.28B). With OCF at $1.31B and capex at $31.0M, cash generation capacity is weakening — monitor for dividend/buyback sustainability.
- NEW: Going concern doubt in latest filing: The term "going concern" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 7 filing(s).
- NEW: Material weakness in internal controls in latest filing: The term "material weakness" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 54 filing(s).
- NEW: Substantial doubt about ability to continue in latest filing: The term "substantial doubt" "ability to continue" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 2 filing(s).
- NEW: Restatement of financial statements in latest filing: The term "restate" "financial statements" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 8 filing(s).
- Operating cash flow exceeds net income: OCF is 1.45x net income, indicating high earnings quality — cash conversion is strong and accruals are not inflating reported profits.
- Endogenous analysis: Free cash flow deterioration coincides with a -22.5% capex reduction. While lower capex temporarily preserves cash, it may signal underinvestment in growth assets — future revenue capacity could be constrained.
- Endogenous analysis: Strong cash conversion (OCF > NI) combined with growing deferred revenue provides high forward visibility. The business model appears to generate sustainable, recurring cash flows — a positive structural indicator.
- Endogenous analysis: The combination of explicit "going concern" language in the filing with deteriorating cash flow or rising leverage is a severe warning signal — the company's own auditors have flagged doubt about the ability to continue as a going concern.
- 4 new XBRL disclosure(s) in latest filing — expanding reporting scope.
- 20 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
- 7 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Going concern doubt, Material weakness in internal controls, Substantial doubt about ability to continue, Restatement of financial statements, Impairment charge, Restructuring, Off-balance sheet arrangements.
- Market cap $43.78B at $207.48 per share.
- Trailing P/E 49.52, P/S 7.96, P/B 13.73.
- Price $207.48 — downtrend (below 200-DMA); 1-month momentum negative.
- RSI(14) 51.75.
- Composite risk: Elevated.
- Leverage debt/equity 0.78 (moderate).
- Free cash flow deteriorating: FCF declined +36.9% YoY (from $2.03B to $1.28B). With OCF at $1.31B and capex at $31.0M, cash generation capacity is weakening — monitor for dividend/buyback sustainability.
- NEW: Going concern doubt in latest filing: The term "going concern" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 7 filing(s).
Filings & ownership
- Latest annual report (10-K) filed Mar 3, 2026.
- Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed May 29, 2026.
- 18 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 0 sell transactions.
- ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference Autodesk Inc.; broad institutional reporting.
- Recent filers include Modern Wealth Management, LLC, DOW CHEMICAL CO /DE/, Platinum Management (NY) LLC.
- 4 recent 13D activist/beneficial-ownership filings — potential catalyst.
- 16 recent 13G passive institutional ownership notices.
Full ADSK analyst report
Valuation (DCF & Graham), technicals, macro exposure, risk scorecard and 13F/13D ownership.
View full report →Not investment advice. FilingSight is an automated analytical research tool, not a registered investment advisor. Ratings and scores are quantitative analytical classifications, not buy or sell recommendations. Nothing here is personalized to your circumstances. Investing involves risk of loss — consult a licensed professional. See full disclosures.