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Valero Energy
VLOEnergyGenerated Aug 19, 2026, 09:42 PM UTC
VLO (Valero Energy) analytical snapshot. Return on equity 9.90%, ROA 4.05%, ROIC 9.94%. Net income down ▼ +15.2% YoY. Debt/equity 0.33, current ratio 1.64, net debt $387.0M. Market cap $99.70B at $346.26 per share. Trailing P/E 45.74, P/B 3.99. EV/Operating income ≈ 31.46 (EV $100.08B). Risk: Low. Macro: Risk-on · Supportive. Composite analytical score 7 (data confidence 72%). Descriptive analytics from public filings — not investment advice.
Market cap
$99.70B
287.93M shares
Price
$346.26
NYQ
P/E (ttm)
45.74
Revenue (FY)
—
Net margin
—
Free cash flow
—
Risk level
Low
Free SEC analysis
— computed from SEC filings, free to readFree previewRegulatory Analyst
Filings & Ownership
Regulatory Analyst
score 30Improving
80% conf
Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 25, 2026. Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Jul 30, 2026. 16 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 25, 2026.
- Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Jul 30, 2026.
- 16 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 0 sell transactions.
- ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference Valero Energy; broad institutional reporting.
- Recent filers include SAGAMORE HILL CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP, MASTERS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC, Westchester Capital Management, LLC.
- 7 recent 13D activist/beneficial-ownership filings — potential catalyst.
- 13 recent 13G passive institutional ownership notices.
Latest 10-K
Feb 25, 2026
Annual report
Latest 10-Q
Jul 30, 2026
8-K (recent)
16
Insider net
—
0B/0S
13F filers
10k+
Activist 13D
7
Recent 13F institutional filers (SEC EDGAR full-text)
| Filer | Form | Filed |
|---|---|---|
| SAGAMORE HILL CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LP | 13F-HR | May 15, 2006 |
| MASTERS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 13F-HR | Aug 15, 2012 |
| Westchester Capital Management, LLC | 13F-HR | Jul 31, 2013 |
| MASTERS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 13F-HR | May 15, 2012 |
| CLARIUM CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC | 13F-HR | May 14, 2007 |
Recent 8-K material events
| Date | Form | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 30, 2026 | 8-K | FORM 8-K SECOND QUARTER 2026 EARNINGS RELEASE |
| Jul 16, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| May 8, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 8-K | FORM 8-K FIRST QUARTER 2026 EARNINGS RELEASE |
| Mar 9, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Jan 29, 2026 | 8-K | FORM 8-K FOURTH QUARTER 2025 EARNINGS RELEASE |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 8-K | FORM 8-K THIRD QUARTER 2025 EARNINGS RELEASE |
Free previewSEC Filing Analyst
SEC Filing Deep-Analysis
SEC Filing Analyst
score -31Deteriorating
64% conf
2 risk signal(s), 1 positive signal(s), 1 watch item(s) detected from XBRL filing diff analysis. Free cash flow declined despite stable or rising capex, indicating the cash burn is operational rather than investment-driven. This is a structural concern — cost reduction or asset sales may be needed to restore FCF.
- Free cash flow deteriorating: FCF declined +20.9% YoY (from $4.77B to $3.77B). With OCF at $5.83B and capex at $2.06B, cash generation capacity is weakening — monitor for dividend/buyback sustainability.
- Restatement of financial statements: The term "restatement of" "previously issued" appears in 1 recent filing(s) (vs 1 in the prior period). This risk language is ongoing.
- Operating cash flow exceeds net income: OCF is 2.48x net income, indicating high earnings quality — cash conversion is strong and accruals are not inflating reported profits.
- NEW: Impairment charge: Impairment charge appears in recent filings but not in the prior 24-month period. Monitor for materiality.
- Endogenous analysis: Free cash flow declined despite stable or rising capex, indicating the cash burn is operational rather than investment-driven. This is a structural concern — cost reduction or asset sales may be needed to restore FCF.
- 2 new XBRL disclosure(s) in latest filing — expanding reporting scope.
- 20 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
- 1 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Impairment charge.
- Ongoing high-severity risk language: Restatement of financial statements.
Gross profit
$-230.0M
+42.2% YoY
Operating income
$3.18B
-15.3% YoY
Net income
$2.35B
-15.2% YoY
Operating cash flow
$5.83B
-12.8% YoY
Capex
$2.06B
+7.4% YoY
Total assets
$57.99B
-3.6% YoY
Long-term debt
$8.26B
+2.2% YoY
Cash & equivalents
$4.69B
+0.7% YoY
Filing quality score
69/100
2 new disclosures
SEC XBRL metric changes (latest annual vs prior)
| Metric | Prior year | Latest year | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | $-398.0M | $-230.0M | $168.0M | +42.2% |
| Operating income | $3.75B | $3.18B | $-574.0M | -15.3% |
| Net income | $2.77B | $2.35B | $-422.0M | -15.2% |
| Operating cash flow | $6.68B | $5.83B | $-857.0M | -12.8% |
| Capex | $1.92B | $2.06B | $141.0M | +7.4% |
| Total assets | $60.14B | $57.99B | $-2.15B | -3.6% |
| Long-term debt | $8.09B | $8.26B | $176.0M | +2.2% |
| Cash & equivalents | $4.66B | $4.69B | $31.0M | +0.7% |
| Stockholders equity | $24.51B | $23.73B | $-787.0M | -3.2% |
| Inventory | $7.76B | $7.59B | $-170.0M | -2.2% |
| Accounts receivable | $9.73B | $9.21B | $-524.0M | -5.4% |
| Interest expense | $556.0M | $556.0M | $0 | 0.0% |
XBRL disclosure changes (new vs dropped concepts)
| Type | Concepts |
|---|---|
| Added | InsuranceRecoveries, LossContingencyReceivableCurrent |
| Removed | AccountsReceivableGrossCurrent, AccountsReceivableNetCurrent, AccruedEnvironmentalLossContingenciesCurrent, AccruedEnvironmentalLossContingenciesNoncurrent, AllowanceForDoubtfulAccountsReceivableCurrent, AssetRetirementObligation, AssetRetirementObligationAccretionExpense, AssetRetirementObligationCurrent, AssetRetirementObligationLiabilitiesIncurred, AssetRetirementObligationLiabilitiesSettled |
Risk language in filing text (EDGAR full-text search)
| Term | Severity | Recent | Prior | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restatement of financial statements | high | 1 | 1 | Ongoing |
| Impairment charge | medium | 5 | 0 | NEW |
| Restructuring | medium | 5 | 1 | Ongoing |
| Off-balance sheet arrangements | medium | 5 | 2 | Ongoing |
| Related party transactions | low | 5 | 1 | Ongoing |
Filing signal breakdown
Red flags: 2
Positive: 1
Watch: 1
Red flags
Positive
Watch
Free previewFundamentals Analyst
Fundamentals
Fundamentals Analyst
score 5Stable
80% conf
Return on equity 9.90%, ROA 4.05%, ROIC 9.94%. Net income down ▼ +15.2% YoY. Debt/equity 0.33, current ratio 1.64, net debt $387.0M.
- Return on equity 9.90%, ROA 4.05%, ROIC 9.94%.
- Net income down ▼ +15.2% YoY.
- Debt/equity 0.33, current ratio 1.64, net debt $387.0M.
Revenue (FY)
—
Net margin
—
ROE
9.90%
ROA 4.05%
ROIC
9.94%
EPS (diluted)
$7.57
FY2025
Free cash flow
—
Debt / equity
0.33
Cash $7.87B
Current ratio
1.64
Equity $25.00B
Annual fundamentals — up to 10 years (SEC 10-K, US-GAAP)
| FY | Revenue | Rev YoY | Gross% | Op% | Net% | FCF | ROE% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | — | — | — | — | — | $4.63B | 11.30 |
| 2025 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9.90 |
Sources:SEC EDGAR — Company Facts (XBRL)
+8 more years of history, charts & full breakdown Pro
Pro analysis — preview
— score, signals & key metrics shown; full reasoning lockedValuation
Valuation Analyst
score -20Deteriorating
67% conf
Market cap $99.70B at $346.26 per share. Trailing P/E 45.74, P/B 3.99. EV/Operating income ≈ 31.46 (EV $100.08B).
- Market cap $99.70B at $346.26 per share.
Market cap
$99.70B
287.93M shares
P/E (ttm)
45.74
P/S
—
P/B
3.99
EV
$100.08B
Intrinsic (DCF)
—
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
Price & Technicals
Technical Analyst
score 65Improving
85% conf
Price $346.26 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive. RSI(14) 72.32 (overbought).
- Price $346.26 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive.
Price
$346.26
NYQ
RSI(14)
72.32
50-DMA
$289.53
200-DMA
$228.93
Volatility (ann.)
36.22%
52w range
$137.88–$351.00
-1.4% from high
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
Macro & Rates
Macro Analyst
score 30Improving
80% conf
Risk-on · Supportive. Real GDP growth 1.50% (quarterly, as of Apr 1, 2026). CPI inflation +3.3% YoY. Fed funds rate 3.63%, 10Y Treasury 4.71%.
- Market regime: Risk-on · Supportive.
GDP growth
1.50%
CPI (YoY)
+3.3%
Fed funds
3.63%
10Y yield
4.71%
10Y−2Y
0.46pp
Unemployment
4.10%
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
Risk Scorecard
Risk Analyst
score 20Improving
50% conf
Composite risk Low. Leverage debt/equity 0.33 (low). Liquidity current ratio 1.64 (adequate).
- Composite risk: Low.
Risk level
Low
Debt / equity
0.33
Current ratio
1.64
Margin stdev
—
Cash / assets
12.18%
Liab / assets
—
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
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Macro exposure
Cyclical / growth · High sensitivityMacro regime: Risk-on · Supportive. Valero Energy is a cyclical / growth name (high macro sensitivity) — risk appetite favors cyclical/growth names.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Yield curve
Normal
VIX
15.84
Fed funds
3.63%
CPI YoY
+3.3%
Analytical read
deterministic previewPrice $346.26 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive..
Risk
Low
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Macro exposure
Supportive
Descriptive analytics from public filings and macro data — not investment advice.
Peer comparison
Cyclical / growth groupHow VLO stacks up against tracked peers with similar macro sensitivity — by analytical score and macro exposure.
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|---|---|---|
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