FFilingSight

Not investment advice. FilingSight is an automated analytical research tool, not a registered investment advisor. Ratings and scores are quantitative analytical classifications, not buy or sell recommendations. Nothing here is personalized to your circumstances. Investing involves risk of loss — consult a licensed professional. See full disclosures.

Create a free account to read 3 full reports each month — plus a 14-day Pro trial. Get started →

United Parcel Service

UPSIndustrials

Generated Aug 19, 2026, 11:14 PM UTC

analytical score -17

UPS (United Parcel Service) analytical snapshot. Revenue declined +2.6% YoY to $88.66B. 5-year revenue CAGR -1.8%; 10y CAGR +4.3%. Net margin at 6.28% (contracting ▼). Market cap $73.43B at $102.86 per share. Trailing P/E 15.68, P/S 0.83, P/B 4.87. EV/Operating income ≈ 11.74 (EV $92.37B). Risk: Moderate. Macro: Risk-on · Supportive. Composite analytical score -17 (data confidence 82%). Descriptive analytics from public filings — not investment advice.

Market cap
$73.43B
713.92M shares
Price
$102.86
NYQ
P/E (ttm)
15.68
Revenue (FY)
$88.66B
YoY -2.6%
Net margin
6.28%
▼ 5.22pp
Free cash flow
$4.76B
5.37% margin
Risk level
Moderate

Free SEC analysis

— computed from SEC filings, free to read
Free previewRegulatory Analyst

Filings & Ownership

Regulatory Analyst
score 30Improving
80% conf

Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 17, 2026. Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Aug 5, 2026. 17 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.

  • Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 17, 2026.
  • Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Aug 5, 2026.
  • 17 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
  • Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 0 sell transactions.
  • ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference United Parcel Service; broad institutional reporting.
  • Recent filers include Merit Financial Group, LLC, United Advisor Group, LLC, Capital Wealth Planning, LLC.
  • 2 recent 13D activist/beneficial-ownership filings — potential catalyst.
  • 18 recent 13G passive institutional ownership notices.
Latest 10-K
Feb 17, 2026
Annual report
Latest 10-Q
Aug 5, 2026
8-K (recent)
17
Insider net
—
0B/0S
13F filers
10k+
Activist 13D
2
Recent 13F institutional filers (SEC EDGAR full-text)
FilerFormFiled
Merit Financial Group, LLC13F-HRAug 8, 2022
United Advisor Group, LLC13F-HRFeb 16, 2024
Capital Wealth Planning, LLC13F-HRMay 10, 2017
Capital Wealth Planning, LLC13F-HRNov 15, 2016
Capital Wealth Planning, LLC13F-HRFeb 13, 2019
Recent 8-K material events
DateFormDescription
Aug 18, 20268-KFORM 8-K
Aug 12, 20268-KFORM 8-K
Jul 28, 20268-K8-K
Jun 15, 20268-K8-K
May 13, 20268-K8-K
May 11, 20268-KFORM 8-K - SHAREOWNERS MEETING
Apr 28, 20268-K8-K
Feb 6, 20268-K8-K
Sources:SEC EDGAR — Company FilingsSEC EDGAR — Full-Text Search
Free previewSEC Filing Analyst

SEC Filing Deep-Analysis

SEC Filing Analyst
score -16Deteriorating
64% conf

1 risk signal(s), 1 positive signal(s), 1 watch item(s) detected from XBRL filing diff analysis. Free cash flow declined despite stable or rising capex, indicating the cash burn is operational rather than investment-driven. This is a structural concern — cost reduction or asset sales may be needed to restore FCF.

  • Free cash flow deteriorating: FCF declined +23.3% YoY (from $6.21B to $4.76B). With OCF at $8.45B and capex at $3.69B, cash generation capacity is weakening — monitor for dividend/buyback sustainability.
  • Operating cash flow exceeds net income: OCF is 1.52x net income, indicating high earnings quality — cash conversion is strong and accruals are not inflating reported profits.
  • NEW: Restructuring: Restructuring appears in recent filings but not in the prior 24-month period. Monitor for materiality.
  • Endogenous analysis: Free cash flow declined despite stable or rising capex, indicating the cash burn is operational rather than investment-driven. This is a structural concern — cost reduction or asset sales may be needed to restore FCF.
  • 4 new XBRL disclosure(s) in latest filing — expanding reporting scope.
  • 20 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
  • 1 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Restructuring.
Revenue
$88.66B
-2.6% YoY
Operating income
$7.87B
-7.1% YoY
Net income
$5.57B
-3.6% YoY
Operating cash flow
$8.45B
-16.5% YoY
Capex
$3.69B
-5.7% YoY
Total assets
$73.09B
+4.3% YoY
Long-term debt
$23.59B
+12.1% YoY
Cash & equivalents
$5.89B
-3.7% YoY
Filing quality score
78/100
4 new disclosures
SEC XBRL metric changes (latest annual vs prior)
MetricPrior yearLatest yearChange% Change
Revenue$91.07B$88.66B$-2.41B-2.6%
Operating income$8.47B$7.87B$-601.0M-7.1%
Net income$5.78B$5.57B$-210.0M-3.6%
Operating cash flow$10.12B$8.45B$-1.67B-16.5%
Capex$3.91B$3.69B$-224.0M-5.7%
Total assets$70.07B$73.09B$3.02B+4.3%
Long-term debt$21.03B$23.59B$2.56B+12.1%
Cash & equivalents$6.11B$5.89B$-225.0M-3.7%
Stockholders equity$16.72B$16.23B$-491.0M-2.9%
Inventory$826.0M$739.0M$-87.0M-10.5%
Accounts receivable$10.87B$11.21B$338.0M+3.1%
Interest expense$704.0M$785.0M$81.0M+11.5%
XBRL disclosure changes (new vs dropped concepts)
TypeConcepts
AddedAccrualForEnvironmentalLossContingencies, ForeignCurrencyCashFlowHedgeGainLossToBeReclassifiedDuringNext12Months, OtherComprehensiveIncomeOtherNetOfTax, ReceivableForRecoveryOfImportDutiesNet
RemovedAccountsReceivableGrossCurrent, AccruedIncomeTaxesCurrent, AllowanceForDoubtfulAccountsReceivablePeriodIncreaseDecrease, AmortizationOfIntangibleAssets, AntidilutiveSecuritiesExcludedFromComputationOfEarningsPerShareAmount, AssetImpairmentCharges, AvailableForSaleDebtSecuritiesAccumulatedGrossUnrealizedGainBeforeTax, AvailableForSaleDebtSecuritiesAccumulatedGrossUnrealizedLossBeforeTax, BusinessCombinationConsiderationTransferred1, CashCashEquivalentsRestrictedCashAndRestrictedCashEquivalentsPeriodIncreaseDecreaseIncludingExchangeRateEffectContinuingOperations
Risk language in filing text (EDGAR full-text search)
TermSeverityRecentPriorStatus
Impairment chargemedium58Ongoing
Restructuringmedium50NEW
Off-balance sheet arrangementsmedium58Ongoing
Related party transactionslow50NEW
Filing signal breakdown
Red flags: 1
Positive: 1
Watch: 1
Red flags
Positive
Watch
Sources:SEC EDGAR — Company Facts (XBRL)SEC EDGAR — Financial Reports
Free previewFundamentals Analyst

Fundamentals

Fundamentals Analyst
score -25Deteriorating
80% conf

Revenue declined +2.6% YoY to $88.66B. 5-year revenue CAGR -1.8%; 10y CAGR +4.3%. Net margin at 6.28% (contracting ▼).

  • Revenue declined +2.6% YoY to $88.66B.
  • 5-year revenue CAGR -1.8%; 10y CAGR +4.3%.
  • Net margin at 6.28% (contracting ▼).
  • Return on equity 34.34%, ROA 7.62%, ROIC 19.76%.
  • Gross margin 0.00%, operating margin 8.87%.
  • Free cash flow margin 5.37% ($4.76B).
  • Net income down ▼ +3.6% YoY.
  • Debt/equity 1.57, current ratio 1.18, net debt $18.93B.
  • Asset turnover 1.24 — capital efficiency.
Revenue (FY)
$88.66B
YoY -2.6%
Net margin
6.28%
▼ 5.22pp
ROE
34.34%
ROA 7.62%
ROIC
19.76%
EPS (diluted)
$6.56
FY2025
Free cash flow
$4.76B
5.37% margin
Debt / equity
1.57
Cash $4.65B
Current ratio
1.18
Equity $15.07B
Annual fundamentals — up to 10 years (SEC 10-K, US-GAAP)
FYRevenueRev YoYGross%Op%Net%FCFROE%
2024$91.07B+0.1%0.009.306.35$6.21B34.59
2025$88.66B-2.6%0.008.876.28$4.76B34.34
Quarterly revenue trend (last 6 quarters, SEC 10-Q)
Quarter endRevenueYoYQoQNet margin
Mar 31, 2020$18.04B+5.1%—5.35%
Jun 30, 2020$20.46B+13.4%+13.4%8.64%
Sep 30, 2020$21.24B+15.9%+3.8%9.21%
Mar 31, 2021$22.91B+27.0%+7.9%20.92%
Jun 30, 2021$23.42B+14.5%+2.3%11.42%
Sep 30, 2021$23.18B+9.2%-1.0%10.05%
Sources:SEC EDGAR — Company Facts (XBRL)
+8 more years of history, charts & full breakdown Pro

Pro analysis — preview

— score, signals & key metrics shown; full reasoning locked

Valuation

Valuation Analyst
score -5Stable
95% conf

Market cap $73.43B at $102.86 per share. Trailing P/E 15.68, P/S 0.83, P/B 4.87. EV/Operating income ≈ 11.74 (EV $92.37B).

  • Market cap $73.43B at $102.86 per share.
Market cap
$73.43B
713.92M shares
P/E (ttm)
15.68
P/S
0.83
P/B
4.87
EV
$92.37B
Intrinsic (DCF)
$94.24
-8.4% vs price
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked

Price & Technicals

Technical Analyst
score -70Deteriorating
85% conf

Price $102.86 — downtrend (below 200-DMA); 1-month momentum negative. RSI(14) 44.08.

  • Price $102.86 — downtrend (below 200-DMA); 1-month momentum negative.
Price
$102.86
NYQ
RSI(14)
44.08
50-DMA
$108.36
200-DMA
$104.24
Volatility (ann.)
30.07%
52w range
$82.00–$122.41
-16.0% from high
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked

Macro & Rates

Macro Analyst
score 30Improving
80% conf

Risk-on · Supportive. Real GDP growth 1.50% (quarterly, as of Apr 1, 2026). CPI inflation +3.3% YoY. Fed funds rate 3.63%, 10Y Treasury 4.71%.

  • Market regime: Risk-on · Supportive.
GDP growth
1.50%
CPI (YoY)
+3.3%
Fed funds
3.63%
10Y yield
4.71%
10Y−2Y
0.46pp
Unemployment
4.10%
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked

Risk Scorecard

Risk Analyst
score -12Stable
83% conf

Composite risk Moderate. Leverage debt/equity 1.57 (moderate). Liquidity current ratio 1.18 (adequate).

  • Composite risk: Moderate.
Risk level
Moderate
Debt / equity
1.57
Current ratio
1.18
Margin stdev
3.04pp
Cash / assets
6.53%
Liab / assets
—
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked

See the full picture behind every stock

Unlock the complete 10-year fundamentals, DCF & Graham intrinsic value, 13F/13D ownership flow, risk scorecard, multi-analyst bull/bear debate — plus watchlist alerts and your research workspace. Start with a 14-day Pro trial.

Subscribe to ProCreate free account

3 sections free · 4 Pro previews · composite -17

Macro exposure

Cyclical / growth · High sensitivity
Supportive

Macro regime: Risk-on · Supportive. United Parcel Service is a cyclical / growth name (high macro sensitivity) — risk appetite favors cyclical/growth names.

Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Yield curve
Normal
VIX
15.84
Fed funds
3.63%
CPI YoY
+3.3%

Analytical read

deterministic preview

Market regime: Risk-on · Supportive..

Risk
Moderate
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Macro exposure
Supportive
Descriptive analytics from public filings and macro data — not investment advice.
Open analytical workspace

Peer comparison

Cyclical / growth group

How UPS stacks up against tracked peers with similar macro sensitivity — by analytical score and macro exposure.

CompanyScoreMacro
CF Industries CF33Supportive
MercadoLibre Inc. MELI32Supportive
Booking Holdings BKNG32Supportive
Uber Technologies UBER32Supportive
Shopify Inc. SHOP30Supportive
Newmont Corp. NEM29Supportive
Alphabet Inc. GOOGL29Supportive
Intuit Inc. INTU28Supportive
Pinterest Inc. PINS28Supportive
Salesforce Inc. CRM27Supportive
Workday Inc. WDAY20Supportive
Microsoft Corp. MSFT19Supportive
Adobe Inc. ADBE18Supportive
NVIDIA Corp. NVDA17Supportive
Netflix Inc. NFLX17Supportive
Marvell Technology MRVL16Supportive
Roku Inc. ROKU15Supportive
Okta Inc. OKTA15Supportive
Comcast Corp. CMCSA15Supportive
Cloudflare Inc. NET14Supportive
Meta Platforms Inc. META14Supportive
T-Mobile US Inc. TMUS14Supportive
Datadog Inc. DDOG14Supportive
Amazon.com Inc. AMZN11Supportive
Eaton Corp. ETN10Supportive
Airbnb Inc. ABNB10Supportive
Delta Air Lines DAL9Supportive
Energy Transfer ET8Supportive
ConocoPhillips COP8Supportive
Spotify Technology SPOT8Supportive
Exxon Mobil Corp. XOM8Supportive
GE Aerospace GE7Supportive
Zscaler Inc. ZS7Supportive
Valero Energy VLO7Supportive
IBM Corp. IBM6Supportive
General Dynamics GD6Supportive
Snowflake Inc. SNOW6Supportive
United Airlines Holdings UAL5Supportive
Oracle Corp. ORCL5Supportive
Lam Research Corp. LRCX5Supportive
Qualcomm Inc. QCOM5Supportive
ASML Holding NV ASML4Supportive
Dollar General Corp. DG4Supportive
Boeing Co. BA4Supportive
Advanced Micro Devices AMD1Supportive
Alibaba Group BABA1Supportive
Ulta Beauty Inc. ULTA1Supportive
Devon Energy DVN1Supportive
Verizon Communications VZ1Supportive
Hess Corp. HES0Supportive
ServiceNow Inc. NOW0Supportive
Walt Disney Co. DIS0Supportive
Kinder Morgan KMI0Supportive
Occidental Petroleum OXY-1Supportive
RTX Corp. RTX-2Supportive
General Motors Co. GM-2Supportive
Honeywell International HON-2Supportive
Marathon Petroleum MPC-2Supportive
Apple Inc. AAPL-3Supportive
Lockheed Martin LMT-4Supportive
Cisco Systems Inc. CSCO-4Supportive
EOG Resources EOG-4Supportive
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD-5Supportive
Chipotle Mexican Grill CMG-5Supportive
Nucor Corp. NUE-5Supportive
Lowe's Cos. LOW-5Supportive
Schlumberger N.V. SLB-6Supportive
Union Pacific Corp. UNP-6Supportive
Applied Materials Inc. AMAT-7Supportive
Royal Caribbean Group RCL-7Supportive
Autodesk Inc. ADSK-7Supportive
Linde plc LIN-8Supportive
Palo Alto Networks PANW-8Supportive
Phillips 66 PSX-8Supportive
Sherwin-Williams SHW-9Supportive
Old Dominion Freight ODFL-10Supportive
TJX Cos. TJX-10Supportive
Micron Technology MU-10Supportive
McDonald's Corp. MCD-10Supportive
Norfolk Southern NSC-11Supportive
Nike Inc. NKE-13Supportive
Freeport-McMoRan FCX-14Supportive
Texas Instruments TXN-14Supportive
3M Co. MMM-16Supportive
Broadcom Inc. AVGO-16Supportive
Yum Brands Inc. YUM-16Supportive
United Parcel Service UPS● you-17Supportive
Air Products & Chemicals APD-17Supportive
Dow Inc. DOW-18Supportive
Caterpillar Inc. CAT-18Supportive
Mosaic Co. MOS-19Supportive
Chevron Corp. CVX-19Supportive
Microchip Technology MCHP-20Supportive
Intel Corp. INTC-20Supportive
Albemarle Corp. ALB-21Supportive
Marriott International MAR-21Supportive
Home Depot Inc. HD-22Supportive
CSX Corp. CSX-24Supportive
Warner Bros Discovery WBD-27Supportive
Starbucks Corp. SBUX-29Supportive
Deere & Co. DE-30Supportive
ON Semiconductor Corp. ON-46Supportive
Tesla Inc. TSLA-47Supportive