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Freeport-McMoRan
FCXMaterialsGenerated Aug 19, 2026, 10:44 PM UTC
FCX (Freeport-McMoRan) analytical snapshot. Revenue grew +1.8% YoY to $25.91B. 5-year revenue CAGR +2.6%; 10y CAGR +6.4%. Net margin at 0.00% (contracting ▼). Market cap $99.21B at $69.09 per share. Trailing P/E 23.82, P/S 3.83, P/B 4.93. EV/Operating income ≈ 16.04 (EV $104.52B). Risk: Moderate. Macro: Risk-on · Supportive. Composite analytical score -14 (data confidence 83%). Descriptive analytics from public filings — not investment advice.
Free SEC analysis
— computed from SEC filings, free to readFilings & Ownership
Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 13, 2026. Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Aug 6, 2026. 20 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 13, 2026.
- Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Aug 6, 2026.
- 20 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 0 sell transactions.
- ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference Freeport-McMoRan; broad institutional reporting.
- Recent filers include CITADEL L P, Jump Trading, LLC, Titan Capital Group III, LP.
- 3 recent 13D activist/beneficial-ownership filings — potential catalyst.
- 17 recent 13G passive institutional ownership notices.
| Filer | Form | Filed |
|---|---|---|
| CITADEL L P | 13F-HR | Aug 1, 2008 |
| Jump Trading, LLC | 13F-HR | Nov 15, 2012 |
| Titan Capital Group III, LP | 13F-HR | Jan 20, 2010 |
| Vermillion Asset Management LLC | 13F-HR | Apr 26, 2013 |
| CANYON CAPITAL ADVISORS LLC | 13F-HR | May 15, 2003 |
| Date | Form | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Jun 10, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| May 20, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Apr 23, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Mar 23, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Feb 24, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Jan 16, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
SEC Filing Deep-Analysis
6 risk signal(s), 1 positive signal(s), 2 watch item(s) detected from XBRL filing diff analysis. Revenue grew +1.8% but receivables grew +69.0% — the receivables-to-revenue gap suggests growth may be partially driven by extended credit terms rather than genuine demand. If DSO continues to rise, a revenue reversal or bad-debt charge could follow.
- Receivables outpacing revenue: Accounts receivable grew +69.0% YoY vs revenue growth of +1.8%. The +67.2% spread suggests extended credit terms, channel stuffing risk, or collection deterioration. Investigate the allowance for doubtful accounts and DSO trend.
- Earnings-cash flow divergence: Net income grew +557.7% while operating cash flow declined -21.6%. This divergence may indicate accrual-based earnings inflation — non-cash gains, aggressive revenue recognition, or working capital absorption. The accrual ratio (NI − OCF) is deteriorating.
- Free cash flow deteriorating: FCF declined +52.6% YoY (from $2.35B to $1.12B). With OCF at $5.61B and capex at $4.49B, cash generation capacity is weakening — monitor for dividend/buyback sustainability.
- NEW: Going concern doubt in latest filing: The term "going concern" "substantial doubt" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 1 filing(s).
- NEW: Substantial doubt about ability to continue in latest filing: The term "substantial doubt" "ability to continue" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 1 filing(s).
- Restatement of financial statements: The term "restatement of" "previously issued" appears in 1 recent filing(s) (vs 1 in the prior period). This risk language is ongoing.
- Endogenous analysis: Revenue grew +1.8% but receivables grew +69.0% — the receivables-to-revenue gap suggests growth may be partially driven by extended credit terms rather than genuine demand. If DSO continues to rise, a revenue reversal or bad-debt charge could follow.
- Endogenous analysis: Free cash flow declined despite stable or rising capex, indicating the cash burn is operational rather than investment-driven. This is a structural concern — cost reduction or asset sales may be needed to restore FCF.
- Endogenous analysis: The combination of explicit "going concern" language in the filing with deteriorating cash flow or rising leverage is a severe warning signal — the company's own auditors have flagged doubt about the ability to continue as a going concern.
- 6 new XBRL disclosure(s) in latest filing — expanding reporting scope.
- 20 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
- 4 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Going concern doubt, Substantial doubt about ability to continue, Impairment charge, Off-balance sheet arrangements.
- Ongoing high-severity risk language: Restatement of financial statements.
| Metric | Prior year | Latest year | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $25.45B | $25.91B | $460.0M | +1.8% |
| Operating income | $6.86B | $6.52B | $-346.0M | -5.0% |
| Net income | $-189.0M | $865.0M | $1.05B | +557.7% |
| Operating cash flow | $7.16B | $5.61B | $-1.55B | -21.6% |
| Capex | $4.81B | $4.49B | $-314.0M | -6.5% |
| Total assets | $54.85B | $58.17B | $3.32B | +6.1% |
| Total liabilities | $26.07B | $27.40B | $1.33B | +5.1% |
| Long-term debt | $8.95B | $9.38B | $431.0M | +4.8% |
| Cash & equivalents | $3.92B | $3.82B | $-99.0M | -2.5% |
| Stockholders equity | $17.58B | $18.90B | $1.32B | +7.5% |
| Inventory | — | $5.02B | — | — |
| Accounts receivable | $578.0M | $977.0M | $399.0M | +69.0% |
| SG&A expense | $513.0M | $545.0M | $32.0M | +6.2% |
| Interest expense | $462.0M | $312.0M | $-150.0M | -32.5% |
| Type | Concepts |
|---|---|
| Added | AntidilutiveSecuritiesExcludedFromComputationOfEarningsPerShareAmount, InsuredEventGainLoss, NetIncomeLoss, PaymentsOfDebtIssuanceCosts, ProceedsFromInsuranceSettlementOperatingActivities, SegmentExpenditureAdditionToLongLivedAssets |
| Removed | AccountsPayableAndOtherAccruedLiabilitiesCurrent, AccountsPayableCurrent, AccrualForEnvironmentalLossContingencies, AccrualForEnvironmentalLossContingenciesGross, AccrualForEnvironmentalLossContingenciesIncreaseDecreaseForAcquisitionsAndDivestitures, AccrualForEnvironmentalLossContingenciesIncreaseDecreaseForRevisionInEstimates, AccrualForEnvironmentalLossContingenciesPayments1, AccrualForEnvironmentalLossContingenciesUndiscountedDueAfterFifthYear, AccrualForEnvironmentalLossContingenciesUndiscountedDueInFifthYear, AccrualForEnvironmentalLossContingenciesUndiscountedDueInFourthYear |
| Term | Severity | Recent | Prior | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Going concern doubt | high | 1 | 0 | NEW |
| Substantial doubt about ability to continue | high | 1 | 0 | NEW |
| Restatement of financial statements | high | 1 | 1 | Ongoing |
| Impairment charge | medium | 5 | 0 | NEW |
| Restructuring | medium | 5 | 8 | Ongoing |
| Off-balance sheet arrangements | medium | 5 | 0 | NEW |
| Related party transactions | low | 5 | 0 | NEW |
Fundamentals
Revenue grew +1.8% YoY to $25.91B. 5-year revenue CAGR +2.6%; 10y CAGR +6.4%. Net margin at 0.00% (contracting ▼).
- Revenue grew +1.8% YoY to $25.91B.
- 5-year revenue CAGR +2.6%; 10y CAGR +6.4%.
- Net margin at 0.00% (contracting ▼).
- Return on equity 0.00%, ROA 0.00%, ROIC 23.05%.
- Gross margin 0.00%, operating margin 25.15%.
- Free cash flow margin 4.31% ($1.12B).
- Debt/equity 0.47, current ratio 2.07, net debt $5.31B.
- Asset turnover 0.43 — capital efficiency.
| FY | Revenue | Rev YoY | Gross% | Op% | Net% | FCF | ROE% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $25.45B | +11.4% | 0.00 | 26.97 | 0.00 | $2.35B | 0.00 |
| 2025 | $25.91B | +1.8% | 0.00 | 25.15 | 0.00 | $1.12B | 0.00 |
| Quarter end | Revenue | YoY | QoQ | Net margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2024 | $6.79B | +16.6% | — | — |
| Mar 31, 2025 | $5.73B | -9.4% | -15.6% | — |
| Jun 30, 2025 | $7.58B | +14.5% | +32.4% | 10.18% |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $6.97B | +2.7% | -8.0% | — |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $6.23B | +8.8% | -10.6% | — |
| Jun 30, 2026 | $7.03B | -7.3% | +12.8% | 14.00% |
Pro analysis — preview
— score, signals & key metrics shown; full reasoning lockedValuation
Market cap $99.21B at $69.09 per share. Trailing P/E 23.82, P/S 3.83, P/B 4.93. EV/Operating income ≈ 16.04 (EV $104.52B).
- Market cap $99.21B at $69.09 per share.
Price & Technicals
Price $69.09 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive. RSI(14) 62.53.
- Price $69.09 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive.
Macro & Rates
Risk-on · Supportive. Real GDP growth 1.50% (quarterly, as of Apr 1, 2026). CPI inflation +3.3% YoY. Fed funds rate 3.63%, 10Y Treasury 4.71%.
- Market regime: Risk-on · Supportive.
Risk Scorecard
Composite risk Moderate. Leverage debt/equity 0.47 (moderate). Liquidity current ratio 2.07 (adequate).
- Composite risk: Moderate.
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Macro exposure
Cyclical / growth · High sensitivityMacro regime: Risk-on · Supportive. Freeport-McMoRan is a cyclical / growth name (high macro sensitivity) — risk appetite favors cyclical/growth names.
Analytical read
deterministic previewPrice $69.09 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive..
Peer comparison
Cyclical / growth groupHow FCX stacks up against tracked peers with similar macro sensitivity — by analytical score and macro exposure.
| Company | Score | Macro |
|---|---|---|
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