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CSX Corp.
CSXIndustrialsGenerated Aug 19, 2026, 10:30 PM UTC
CSX (CSX Corp.) analytical snapshot. Revenue declined +3.1% YoY to $14.09B. 5-year revenue CAGR +2.4%; 10y CAGR +2.7%. Net margin at 20.50% (contracting ▼). Market cap $93.88B at $50.68 per share. Trailing P/E 32.91, P/S 6.66, P/B 11.10. EV/Operating income ≈ 22.51 (EV $101.76B). Risk: Elevated. Macro: Risk-on · Supportive. Composite analytical score -24 (data confidence 82%). Descriptive analytics from public filings — not investment advice.
Market cap
$93.88B
1.85B shares
Price
$50.68
NMS
P/E (ttm)
32.91
Revenue (FY)
$14.09B
YoY -3.1%
Net margin
20.50%
▼ 7.55pp
Free cash flow
$1.71B
12.14% margin
Risk level
Elevated
Free SEC analysis
— computed from SEC filings, free to readFree previewRegulatory Analyst
Filings & Ownership
Regulatory Analyst
score 20Improving
80% conf
Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 12, 2026. Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Jul 22, 2026. 14 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 12, 2026.
- Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Jul 22, 2026.
- 14 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 0 sell transactions.
- ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference CSX Corp.; broad institutional reporting.
- Recent filers include Axiom Investment Management LLC, Allen Investment Management LLC, Axiom Investment Management LLC.
Latest 10-K
Feb 12, 2026
Annual report
Latest 10-Q
Jul 22, 2026
8-K (recent)
14
Insider net
—
0B/0S
13F filers
10k+
Activist 13D
0
Recent 13F institutional filers (SEC EDGAR full-text)
| Filer | Form | Filed |
|---|---|---|
| Axiom Investment Management LLC | 13F-HR | Aug 15, 2022 |
| Allen Investment Management LLC | 13F-HR | Aug 8, 2007 |
| Axiom Investment Management LLC | 13F-HR | May 13, 2022 |
| Allen Investment Management LLC | 13F-HR | May 1, 2007 |
| Oak Group, Inc. | 13F-HR | Apr 15, 2008 |
Recent 8-K material events
| Date | Form | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| May 14, 2026 | 8-K | FORM 8-K |
| Apr 22, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Oct 29, 2025 | 8-K | FORM 8-K |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 8-K | FORM 8-K |
| Oct 22, 2025 | 8-K | FORM 8-K |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 8-K | 8-K |
Free previewSEC Filing Analyst
SEC Filing Deep-Analysis
SEC Filing Analyst
score -35Deteriorating
64% conf
2 risk signal(s), 1 positive signal(s), 2 watch item(s) detected from XBRL filing diff analysis. Free cash flow declined despite stable or rising capex, indicating the cash burn is operational rather than investment-driven. This is a structural concern — cost reduction or asset sales may be needed to restore FCF.
- Free cash flow deteriorating: FCF declined +37.0% YoY (from $2.72B to $1.71B). With OCF at $4.61B and capex at $2.90B, cash generation capacity is weakening — monitor for dividend/buyback sustainability.
- NEW: Restatement of financial statements in latest filing: The term "restatement of" "previously issued" appears in recent 10-K/10-Q filings but was NOT present in the prior 24-month period. This is a new risk disclosure that warrants attention. Found in 1 filing(s).
- Operating cash flow exceeds net income: OCF is 1.60x net income, indicating high earnings quality — cash conversion is strong and accruals are not inflating reported profits.
- NEW: Impairment charge: Impairment charge appears in recent filings but not in the prior 24-month period. Monitor for materiality.
- NEW: Restructuring: Restructuring appears in recent filings but not in the prior 24-month period. Monitor for materiality.
- Endogenous analysis: Free cash flow declined despite stable or rising capex, indicating the cash burn is operational rather than investment-driven. This is a structural concern — cost reduction or asset sales may be needed to restore FCF.
- 20 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
- 3 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Restatement of financial statements, Impairment charge, Restructuring.
Revenue
$14.09B
-3.1% YoY
Operating income
$4.52B
-13.8% YoY
Net income
$2.89B
-16.7% YoY
Operating cash flow
$4.61B
-12.1% YoY
Capex
$2.90B
+14.7% YoY
Total assets
$43.68B
+2.1% YoY
Total liabilities
$30.52B
+0.9% YoY
Long-term debt
$9.83B
+6.4% YoY
Filing quality score
70/100
stable
SEC XBRL metric changes (latest annual vs prior)
| Metric | Prior year | Latest year | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $14.54B | $14.09B | $-448.0M | -3.1% |
| Operating income | $5.25B | $4.52B | $-724.0M | -13.8% |
| Net income | $3.47B | $2.89B | $-581.0M | -16.7% |
| Operating cash flow | $5.25B | $4.61B | $-634.0M | -12.1% |
| Capex | $2.53B | $2.90B | $373.0M | +14.7% |
| Total assets | $42.76B | $43.68B | $918.0M | +2.1% |
| Total liabilities | $30.26B | $30.52B | $265.0M | +0.9% |
| Long-term debt | $9.24B | $9.83B | $591.0M | +6.4% |
| Cash & equivalents | $933.0M | $670.0M | $-263.0M | -28.2% |
| Stockholders equity | $12.51B | $13.16B | $653.0M | +5.2% |
| Accounts receivable | $1.33B | $1.30B | $-28.0M | -2.1% |
| Interest expense | $579.0M | $546.0M | $-33.0M | -5.7% |
XBRL disclosure changes (new vs dropped concepts)
| Type | Concepts |
|---|---|
| Removed | AmortizationOfIntangibleAssets, AssetImpairmentCharges, CapitalExpendituresIncurredButNotYetPaid, CommonStockSharesAuthorized, CommonStockSharesIssued, CommonStockSharesOutstanding, CurrentFederalTaxExpenseBenefit, CurrentIncomeTaxExpenseBenefit, CurrentStateAndLocalTaxExpenseBenefit, DeferredFederalIncomeTaxExpenseBenefit |
Risk language in filing text (EDGAR full-text search)
| Term | Severity | Recent | Prior | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restatement of financial statements | high | 1 | 0 | NEW |
| Impairment charge | medium | 4 | 0 | NEW |
| Restructuring | medium | 5 | 0 | NEW |
| Off-balance sheet arrangements | medium | 5 | 2 | Ongoing |
| Related party transactions | low | 5 | 0 | NEW |
Filing signal breakdown
Red flags: 2
Positive: 1
Watch: 2
Red flags
Positive
Watch
Free previewFundamentals Analyst
Fundamentals
Fundamentals Analyst
score -40Deteriorating
80% conf
Revenue declined +3.1% YoY to $14.09B. 5-year revenue CAGR +2.4%; 10y CAGR +2.7%. Net margin at 20.50% (contracting ▼).
- Revenue declined +3.1% YoY to $14.09B.
- 5-year revenue CAGR +2.4%; 10y CAGR +2.7%.
- Net margin at 20.50% (contracting ▼).
- Return on equity 21.95%, ROA 6.61%, ROIC 34.35%.
- Gross margin 0.00%, operating margin 32.08%.
- Free cash flow margin 12.14% ($1.71B).
- Net income down ▼ +16.7% YoY.
- Debt/equity 1.16, current ratio 0.82, net debt $7.87B.
- Asset turnover 0.32 — capital efficiency.
Revenue (FY)
$14.09B
YoY -3.1%
Net margin
20.50%
▼ 7.55pp
ROE
21.95%
ROA 6.61%
ROIC
34.35%
EPS (diluted)
$1.54
FY2025
Free cash flow
$1.71B
12.14% margin
Debt / equity
1.16
Cash $1.96B
Current ratio
0.82
Equity $8.46B
Annual fundamentals — up to 10 years (SEC 10-K, US-GAAP)
| FY | Revenue | Rev YoY | Gross% | Op% | Net% | FCF | ROE% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $14.54B | -0.8% | 0.00 | 36.07 | 23.87 | $2.72B | 27.74 |
| 2025 | $14.09B | -3.1% | 0.00 | 32.08 | 20.50 | $1.71B | 21.95 |
Quarterly revenue trend (last 6 quarters, SEC 10-Q)
| Quarter end | Revenue | YoY | QoQ | Net margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2010 | $2.49B | — | — | 12.24% |
| Jun 25, 2010 | $2.66B | — | +6.9% | 15.55% |
| Sep 24, 2010 | $2.67B | — | +0.1% | 15.53% |
| Apr 1, 2011 | $2.81B | — | +5.4% | 14.06% |
| Jun 30, 2017 | $2.93B | — | +4.4% | 17.39% |
| Jun 30, 2018 | $3.10B | +5.8% | +5.8% | 28.27% |
Sources:SEC EDGAR — Company Facts (XBRL)
+8 more years of history, charts & full breakdown Pro
Pro analysis — preview
— score, signals & key metrics shown; full reasoning lockedValuation
Valuation Analyst
score -60Deteriorating
95% conf
Market cap $93.88B at $50.68 per share. Trailing P/E 32.91, P/S 6.66, P/B 11.10. EV/Operating income ≈ 22.51 (EV $101.76B).
- Market cap $93.88B at $50.68 per share.
Market cap
$93.88B
1.85B shares
P/E (ttm)
32.91
P/S
6.66
P/B
11.10
EV
$101.76B
Intrinsic (DCF)
$15.89
-68.6% vs price
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
Price & Technicals
Technical Analyst
score 45Improving
85% conf
Price $50.68 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive. RSI(14) 55.25.
- Price $50.68 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive.
Price
$50.68
NMS
RSI(14)
55.25
50-DMA
$49.21
200-DMA
$42.24
Volatility (ann.)
22.88%
52w range
$31.80–$53.60
-5.4% from high
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
Macro & Rates
Macro Analyst
score 30Improving
80% conf
Risk-on · Supportive. Real GDP growth 1.50% (quarterly, as of Apr 1, 2026). CPI inflation +3.3% YoY. Fed funds rate 3.63%, 10Y Treasury 4.71%.
- Market regime: Risk-on · Supportive.
GDP growth
1.50%
CPI (YoY)
+3.3%
Fed funds
3.63%
10Y yield
4.71%
10Y−2Y
0.46pp
Unemployment
4.10%
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
Risk Scorecard
Risk Analyst
score -30Deteriorating
90% conf
Composite risk Elevated. Leverage debt/equity 1.16 (moderate). Liquidity current ratio 0.82 (stretched).
- Composite risk: Elevated.
Risk level
Elevated
Debt / equity
1.16
Current ratio
0.82
Margin stdev
8.86pp
Cash / assets
4.38%
Liab / assets
68.50%
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
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Macro exposure
Cyclical / growth · High sensitivityMacro regime: Risk-on · Supportive. CSX Corp. is a cyclical / growth name (high macro sensitivity) — risk appetite favors cyclical/growth names.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Yield curve
Normal
VIX
15.84
Fed funds
3.63%
CPI YoY
+3.3%
Analytical read
deterministic previewPrice $50.68 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive..
Risk
Elevated
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Macro exposure
Supportive
Descriptive analytics from public filings and macro data — not investment advice.
Peer comparison
Cyclical / growth groupHow CSX stacks up against tracked peers with similar macro sensitivity — by analytical score and macro exposure.
| Company | Score | Macro |
|---|---|---|
| CF Industries CF | 33 | Supportive |
| Newmont Corp. NEM | 32 | Supportive |
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