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ConocoPhillips
COPEnergyGenerated Aug 19, 2026, 09:41 PM UTC
COP (ConocoPhillips) analytical snapshot. Revenue grew +7.7% YoY to $58.94B. 5-year revenue CAGR +4.0%; 10y CAGR +10.3%. Net margin at 13.55% (contracting ▼). Market cap $156.87B at $130.58 per share. Trailing P/E 20.56, P/S 2.66, P/B 2.40. Graham number $88.16 (trades above intrinsic). Risk: Moderate. Macro: Risk-on · Supportive. Composite analytical score 8 (data confidence 81%). Descriptive analytics from public filings — not investment advice.
Market cap
$156.87B
1.20B shares
Price
$130.58
NYQ
P/E (ttm)
20.56
Revenue (FY)
$58.94B
YoY +7.7%
Net margin
13.55%
▼ 10.25pp
Free cash flow
—
Risk level
Moderate
Free SEC analysis
— computed from SEC filings, free to readFree previewRegulatory Analyst
Filings & Ownership
Regulatory Analyst
score 30Improving
80% conf
Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 17, 2026. Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Aug 6, 2026. 10 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Latest annual report (10-K) filed Feb 17, 2026.
- Latest quarterly report (10-Q) filed Aug 6, 2026.
- 10 recent 8-K material-event filings in the index.
- Recent insider Form 4s: 0 buy vs 0 sell transactions.
- ~10,000+ recent 13F-HR filings reference ConocoPhillips; broad institutional reporting.
- Recent filers include Vermillion Asset Management LLC, Allen Investment Management LLC, INVESTORS TRUST CO /PA.
- 17 recent 13D activist/beneficial-ownership filings — potential catalyst.
- 3 recent 13G passive institutional ownership notices.
Latest 10-K
Feb 17, 2026
Annual report
Latest 10-Q
Aug 6, 2026
8-K (recent)
10
Insider net
—
0B/0S
13F filers
10k+
Activist 13D
17
Recent 13F institutional filers (SEC EDGAR full-text)
| Filer | Form | Filed |
|---|---|---|
| Vermillion Asset Management LLC | 13F-HR | Aug 13, 2012 |
| Allen Investment Management LLC | 13F-HR | Aug 8, 2007 |
| INVESTORS TRUST CO /PA | 13F-HR | Jul 18, 2003 |
| Vermillion Asset Management LLC | 13F-HR | Nov 13, 2012 |
| Allen Investment Management LLC | 13F-HR | Oct 29, 2007 |
Recent 8-K material events
| Date | Form | Description |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 11, 2026 | 8-K | FORM 8-K |
| Aug 6, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Jun 23, 2026 | 8-K | FORM 8-K |
| May 14, 2026 | 8-K | FORM 8-K |
| Apr 30, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 8-K | 8-K |
| Aug 7, 2025 | 8-K | 8-K |
Free previewSEC Filing Analyst
SEC Filing Deep-Analysis
SEC Filing Analyst
score -31Deteriorating
70% conf
2 risk signal(s), 1 positive signal(s), 1 watch item(s) detected from XBRL filing diff analysis. Free cash flow declined despite stable or rising capex, indicating the cash burn is operational rather than investment-driven. This is a structural concern — cost reduction or asset sales may be needed to restore FCF.
- Free cash flow deteriorating: FCF declined +34.9% YoY (from $14.80B to $9.64B). With OCF at $19.80B and capex at $10.16B, cash generation capacity is weakening — monitor for dividend/buyback sustainability.
- Restatement of financial statements: The term "restatement of" "previously issued" appears in 5 recent filing(s) (vs 2 in the prior period). This risk language is ongoing.
- Operating cash flow exceeds net income: OCF is 2.48x net income, indicating high earnings quality — cash conversion is strong and accruals are not inflating reported profits.
- NEW: Off-balance sheet arrangements: Off-balance sheet arrangements appears in recent filings but not in the prior 24-month period. Monitor for materiality.
- Endogenous analysis: Free cash flow declined despite stable or rising capex, indicating the cash burn is operational rather than investment-driven. This is a structural concern — cost reduction or asset sales may be needed to restore FCF.
- 1 new XBRL disclosure(s) in latest filing — expanding reporting scope.
- 20 disclosure(s) dropped from prior year — reduced reporting granularity.
- 1 new risk-language term(s) detected in filing text: Off-balance sheet arrangements.
- Ongoing high-severity risk language: Restatement of financial statements.
Revenue
$58.94B
+7.7% YoY
Operating income
$-3.62B
+18.4% YoY
Net income
$7.99B
-13.6% YoY
Operating cash flow
$19.80B
-1.6% YoY
Capex
$10.16B
+90.8% YoY
Total assets
$121.94B
-0.7% YoY
Total liabilities
$57.45B
-0.9% YoY
Long-term debt
$16.15B
— YoY
Filing quality score
72/100
1 new disclosures
SEC XBRL metric changes (latest annual vs prior)
| Metric | Prior year | Latest year | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | $54.74B | $58.94B | $4.20B | +7.7% |
| Operating income | $-4.43B | $-3.62B | $813.0M | +18.4% |
| Net income | $9.24B | $7.99B | $-1.26B | -13.6% |
| Operating cash flow | $20.12B | $19.80B | $-328.0M | -1.6% |
| Capex | $5.32B | $10.16B | $4.83B | +90.8% |
| Total assets | $122.78B | $121.94B | $-841.0M | -0.7% |
| Total liabilities | $57.98B | $57.45B | $-532.0M | -0.9% |
| Long-term debt | — | $16.15B | — | — |
| Cash & equivalents | $5.61B | $6.50B | $890.0M | +15.9% |
| Stockholders equity | $64.80B | $64.49B | $-309.0M | -0.5% |
| Inventory | $1.81B | $1.87B | $64.0M | +3.5% |
| Accounts receivable | $5.40B | $4.42B | $-982.0M | -18.2% |
| R&D expense | $81.0M | $78.0M | $-3.0M | -3.7% |
| SG&A expense | $1.16B | $893.0M | $-265.0M | -22.9% |
| Interest expense | $941.0M | $1.18B | $235.0M | +25.0% |
XBRL disclosure changes (new vs dropped concepts)
| Type | Concepts |
|---|---|
| Added | IncreaseDecreaseInPensionPlanObligations |
| Removed | AccountsReceivableNetNoncurrent, AccrualForEnvironmentalLossContingenciesDiscountRate, AccrualForEnvironmentalLossContingenciesGross, AllocatedShareBasedCompensationExpense, AssetRetirementObligation, AssetRetirementObligationAccretionExpense, AssetRetirementObligationCashPaidToSettle, AssetRetirementObligationForeignCurrencyTranslationGainLoss, AssetRetirementObligationLiabilitiesIncurred, AssetRetirementObligationLiabilitiesSettled |
Risk language in filing text (EDGAR full-text search)
| Term | Severity | Recent | Prior | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restatement of financial statements | high | 5 | 2 | Ongoing |
| Impairment charge | medium | 5 | 2 | Ongoing |
| Restructuring | medium | 5 | 6 | Ongoing |
| Off-balance sheet arrangements | medium | 5 | 0 | NEW |
| Related party transactions | low | 5 | 8 | Ongoing |
Filing signal breakdown
Red flags: 2
Positive: 1
Watch: 1
Red flags
Positive
Watch
Free previewFundamentals Analyst
Fundamentals
Fundamentals Analyst
score 5Stable
80% conf
Revenue grew +7.7% YoY to $58.94B. 5-year revenue CAGR +4.0%; 10y CAGR +10.3%. Net margin at 13.55% (contracting ▼).
- Revenue grew +7.7% YoY to $58.94B.
- 5-year revenue CAGR +4.0%; 10y CAGR +10.3%.
- Net margin at 13.55% (contracting ▼).
- Return on equity 12.39%, ROA 6.55%, ROIC 0.00%.
- Gross margin 0.00%, operating margin 0.00%.
- Net income down ▼ +13.6% YoY.
- Debt/equity 0.35, current ratio 1.54, net debt $16.22B.
- Asset turnover 0.47 — capital efficiency.
Revenue (FY)
$58.94B
YoY +7.7%
Net margin
13.55%
▼ 10.25pp
ROE
12.39%
ROA 6.55%
ROIC
0.00%
EPS (diluted)
$6.35
FY2025
Free cash flow
—
Debt / equity
0.35
Cash $6.57B
Current ratio
1.54
Equity $65.35B
Annual fundamentals — up to 10 years (SEC 10-K, US-GAAP)
| FY | Revenue | Rev YoY | Gross% | Op% | Net% | FCF | ROE% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $54.74B | -2.5% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.89 | — | 14.27 |
| 2025 | $58.94B | +7.7% | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.55 | — | 12.39 |
Quarterly revenue trend (last 6 quarters, SEC 10-Q)
| Quarter end | Revenue | YoY | QoQ | Net margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30, 2024 | $13.04B | -8.5% | — | 15.79% |
| Mar 31, 2025 | $16.52B | +19.3% | +26.7% | 17.25% |
| Jun 30, 2025 | $14.00B | +2.8% | -15.2% | 14.07% |
| Sep 30, 2025 | $15.03B | +15.3% | +7.3% | 11.48% |
| Mar 31, 2026 | $15.76B | -4.6% | +4.9% | 13.85% |
| Jun 30, 2026 | $19.16B | +36.8% | +21.6% | 20.52% |
Sources:SEC EDGAR — Company Facts (XBRL)
+8 more years of history, charts & full breakdown Pro
Pro analysis — preview
— score, signals & key metrics shown; full reasoning lockedValuation
Valuation Analyst
score 0Stable
83% conf
Market cap $156.87B at $130.58 per share. Trailing P/E 20.56, P/S 2.66, P/B 2.40. Graham number $88.16 (trades above intrinsic).
- Market cap $156.87B at $130.58 per share.
Market cap
$156.87B
1.20B shares
P/E (ttm)
20.56
P/S
2.66
P/B
2.40
EV
$173.09B
Intrinsic (DCF)
—
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
Price & Technicals
Technical Analyst
score 65Improving
85% conf
Price $130.58 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive. RSI(14) 70.63 (overbought).
- Price $130.58 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive.
Price
$130.58
NYQ
RSI(14)
70.63
50-DMA
$115.04
200-DMA
$110.05
Volatility (ann.)
30.57%
52w range
$85.57–$135.87
-3.9% from high
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
Macro & Rates
Macro Analyst
score 30Improving
80% conf
Risk-on · Supportive. Real GDP growth 1.50% (quarterly, as of Apr 1, 2026). CPI inflation +3.3% YoY. Fed funds rate 3.63%, 10Y Treasury 4.71%.
- Market regime: Risk-on · Supportive.
GDP growth
1.50%
CPI (YoY)
+3.3%
Fed funds
3.63%
10Y yield
4.71%
10Y−2Y
0.46pp
Unemployment
4.10%
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
Risk Scorecard
Risk Analyst
score 0Stable
90% conf
Composite risk Moderate. Leverage debt/equity 0.35 (low). Liquidity current ratio 1.54 (adequate).
- Composite risk: Moderate.
Risk level
Moderate
Debt / equity
0.35
Current ratio
1.54
Margin stdev
12.73pp
Cash / assets
5.29%
Liab / assets
47.41%
ProFull breakdown & reasoning locked
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Macro exposure
Cyclical / growth · High sensitivityMacro regime: Risk-on · Supportive. ConocoPhillips is a cyclical / growth name (high macro sensitivity) — risk appetite favors cyclical/growth names.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Yield curve
Normal
VIX
15.84
Fed funds
3.63%
CPI YoY
+3.3%
Analytical read
deterministic previewPrice $130.58 — uptrend (above 200-DMA); 1-month momentum positive..
Risk
Moderate
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive
Macro exposure
Supportive
Descriptive analytics from public filings and macro data — not investment advice.
Peer comparison
Cyclical / growth groupHow COP stacks up against tracked peers with similar macro sensitivity — by analytical score and macro exposure.
| Company | Score | Macro |
|---|---|---|
| CF Industries CF | 33 | Supportive |
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