Market Brief — September 5, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 25 Buy / 120 Hold / 37 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: INTU.
Market Brief — September 5, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Healthy | Healthy. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.3% YoY, core +2.5% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.37%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 14.32, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.57pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.16%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.3%, VIX 14.3, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 25 bullish, 120 neutral, 37 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 35, confidence 83%.
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 34, confidence 82%.
- CME (CME Group Inc.) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 81%.
- MELI (MercadoLibre Inc.) — Buy, composite score 29, confidence 83%.
Most bearish names:
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -44.
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -40.
- SBUX (Starbucks Corp.) — Sell, score -32.
What to watch
With the Fed on hold at 3.63% and inflation running at 3.3%, the supportive macro backdrop keeps risk appetite intact, but the sharp divergence between a narrow set of high-conviction buys and a broad hold camp signals selective positioning rather than broad-based accumulation. Watch for continued strength in INTU and MELI as earnings compounders, while CF and CME offer defensive cyclical and rate-sensitive hedges if the curve steepens further. A VIX near 14 leaves little cushion for surprises, so any CPI upside or hawkish Fed speak could quickly test the 25-name buy list's leadership.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.