Market Brief — September 3, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 25 Buy / 121 Hold / 36 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: INTU.
Market Brief — September 3, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Mixed / caution | Mixed / caution. Payrolls softening. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.3% YoY, core +2.5% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.35%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 16.34, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.58pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.16%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.3%, VIX 16.3, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 25 bullish, 121 neutral, 36 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 35, confidence 83%.
- BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 83%.
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 82%.
- SHOP (Shopify Inc.) — Buy, composite score 30, confidence 62%.
Most bearish names:
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -44.
- MAR (Marriott International) — Sell, score -32.
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -31.
What to watch
With the Fed on hold at 3.63% and inflation drifting lower to 3.3%, the supportive macro backdrop keeps risk appetite intact, though the VIX at 16.3 suggests complacency is building. Breadth remains constructive but skewed toward holds, so focus shifts to idiosyncratic movers—INTU, BKNG, CF, and SHOP are the clear accumulation targets—while the upward-sloping curve reinforces a buy-the-dip mentality. Watch for any hawkish repricing in short-dated yields to test this regime, as positioning is increasingly crowded.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.