Market Brief — September 1, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 23 Buy / 126 Hold / 33 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: CF.
Market Brief — September 1, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Mixed / caution | Mixed / caution. Payrolls softening. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.3% YoY, core +2.5% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.31%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 14.43, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.54pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.16%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.3%, VIX 14.4, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 23 bullish, 126 neutral, 33 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 34, confidence 82%.
- CME (CME Group Inc.) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 81%.
- BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 31, confidence 83%.
- NEM (Newmont Corp.) — Buy, composite score 31, confidence 83%.
Most bearish names:
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -40.
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -36.
- MAR (Marriott International) — Sell, score -32.
What to watch
With the Fed on hold at 3.63% and a supportive, upward-sloping curve, the macro backdrop remains constructive for risk assets, though the breadth skew toward Hold (126) suggests investors are waiting for clearer catalysts rather than chasing upside. VIX at 14.4 and sticky 3.3% CPI keep the bar high for aggressive positioning, so watch for any hawkish repricing in the front end. Focus on selective longs in CF, CME, BKNG, and NEM—each offers defensive or inflation-hedged cash flows that can outperform in a range-bound, data-dependent tape.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.