Market Brief — August 31, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 25 Buy / 123 Hold / 34 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: CME.
Market Brief — August 31, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Mixed / caution | Mixed / caution. Payrolls softening. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.3% YoY, core +2.5% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.30%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 14.51, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.60pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.16%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.3%, VIX 14.5, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 25 bullish, 123 neutral, 34 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- CME (CME Group Inc.) — Buy, composite score 34, confidence 81%.
- BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 83%.
- GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.) — Buy, composite score 31, confidence 65%.
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 31, confidence 82%.
Most bearish names:
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -46.
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -40.
- SBUX (Starbucks Corp.) — Sell, score -29.
What to watch
With the macro backdrop firmly risk-on amid a supportive Fed and contained 3.3% inflation, the steepening yield curve and subdued VIX provide a constructive runway for secular growth and selective cyclicals. Notably, tracked breadth skews defensive with 123 Holds, but leadership from CME, GOOGL, BKNG, and CF signals quality-risk appetite across platforms, travel, and ag-linked chemicals; watch for this narrow leadership to broaden, or fail to do so, as the market tests the next leg higher.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.