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Aug 29, 2026 · FilingSight Research

Market Brief — August 29, 2026

Risk-on · Supportive. 25 Buy / 125 Hold / 32 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: MELI.

MacroDaily BriefRates

Market Brief — August 29, 2026

Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.

Macro regime

Risk-on · Supportive.

Gauge Status Detail
Growth & Recession Gauge Mixed / caution Mixed / caution. Payrolls softening.
Inflation Regime Moderating Moderating. Headline CPI +3.3% YoY, core +2.5% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.30%.
Financial Conditions Neutral Neutral. VIX 14.51, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.60pp.
Policy Stance Near neutral Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.16%.

Rates & inflation

Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.3%, VIX 14.5, yield curve upward-sloping.

Coverage breadth

Across 182 tracked names: 25 bullish, 125 neutral, 32 bearish outlook.

Highest-conviction bullish names:

  • MELI (MercadoLibre Inc.) — Buy, composite score 36, confidence 83%.
  • BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 83%.
  • CME (CME Group Inc.) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 81%.
  • CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 31, confidence 82%.

Most bearish names:

  • ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -46.
  • TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -34.
  • HD (Home Depot Inc.) — Sell, score -27.

What to watch

With the Fed at 3.63% and CPI easing to 3.3%, supportive real rates and a VIX at 14.5 are sustaining a risk-on regime, though the overwhelmingly defensive breadth of 125 Holds against just 25 Buys suggests institutions are harvesting exposure rather than chasing beta. The market's selective appetite is reflected in top picks MELI, BKNG, CME, and CF, which collectively signal a preference for secular consumer platforms, financial infrastructure, and ag-linked hard assets over broad-based risk. Position into the upward-sloping curve accordingly, favoring quality compounders and tactical commodity leverage while maintaining dry powder for any inflation re-acceleration.

FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.

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