Market Brief — August 26, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 26 Buy / 127 Hold / 29 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: CF.
Market Brief — August 26, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Mixed / caution | Mixed / caution. Payrolls softening. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.3% YoY, core +2.5% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.31%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 15.85, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.63pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.16%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.3%, VIX 15.8, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 26 bullish, 127 neutral, 29 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 34, confidence 82%.
- BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 83%.
- GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.) — Buy, composite score 31, confidence 65%.
- SHOP (Shopify Inc.) — Buy, composite score 30, confidence 62%.
Most bearish names:
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -46.
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -40.
- SBUX (Starbucks Corp.) — Sell, score -29.
What to watch
With the Fed holding at 3.63% alongside easing 3.3% CPI and a sub-16 VIX, the supportive risk-on regime is maintaining upward pressure across an upward-sloping curve, though highly defensive breadth—127 Holds against just 26 Buys and 29 Sells—reveals institutional caution beneath the surface. Watch mega-cap tech and consumer strength in GOOGL, BKNG, and SHOP, alongside agribusiness proxy CF, as potential leadership breakouts that could finally force capital rotation out of the crowded Hold tier.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.