FFilingSight

Not investment advice. FilingSight is an automated analytical research tool, not a registered investment advisor. Ratings and scores are quantitative analytical classifications, not buy or sell recommendations. Nothing here is personalized to your circumstances. Investing involves risk of loss — consult a licensed professional. See full disclosures.

Aug 25, 2026 · FilingSight Research

Market Brief — August 25, 2026

Risk-on · Supportive. 25 Buy / 126 Hold / 31 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: CF.

MacroDaily BriefRates

Market Brief — August 25, 2026

Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.

Macro regime

Risk-on · Supportive.

Gauge Status Detail
Growth & Recession Gauge Mixed / caution Mixed / caution. Payrolls softening.
Inflation Regime Moderating Moderating. Headline CPI +3.3% YoY, core +2.5% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.32%.
Financial Conditions Neutral Neutral. VIX 15.13, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.63pp.
Policy Stance Near neutral Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.16%.

Rates & inflation

Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.3%, VIX 15.1, yield curve upward-sloping.

Coverage breadth

Across 182 tracked names: 25 bullish, 126 neutral, 31 bearish outlook.

Highest-conviction bullish names:

  • CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 34, confidence 82%.
  • GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.) — Buy, composite score 33, confidence 65%.
  • BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 83%.
  • CME (CME Group Inc.) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 81%.

Most bearish names:

  • ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -46.
  • TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -40.
  • HD (Home Depot Inc.) — Sell, score -29.

What to watch

With the macro regime constructively risk-on amid sub-4% inflation and a steepening curve, attention turns to the durability of breadth expansion, where the 126-to-31 hold-to-sell ratio underscores a defensive undercurrent despite the supportive backdrop. Watch GOOGL and BKNG for confirmation that mega-cap growth and discretionary leadership can persist at a VIX of 15.1, while CME's presence among top buys signals institutional positioning for sustained volatility and curve normalization. Conversely, the modest volume of sell signals suggests allocators remain highly selective, making tomorrow's prints on consumer resilience and labor-market momentum critical for validating the current readthrough.

FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.

← All articles