Market Brief — August 21, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 25 Buy / 123 Hold / 34 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: BKNG.
Market Brief — August 21, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Mixed / caution | Mixed / caution. Payrolls softening. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.3% YoY, core +2.5% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.34%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 14.89, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.64pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.16%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.3%, VIX 14.9, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 25 bullish, 123 neutral, 34 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 83%.
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 31, confidence 82%.
- PINS (Pinterest Inc.) — Buy, composite score 30, confidence 64%.
- SHOP (Shopify Inc.) — Buy, composite score 30, confidence 62%.
Most bearish names:
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -46.
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -45.
- SBUX (Starbucks Corp.) — Sell, score -32.
What to watch
With the macro backdrop firmly risk-on amid a supportive Fed funds rate of 3.63% and cooling CPI at 3.3%, the benign VIX at 14.9 and upward-sloping curve provide an ideal environment for selective equity accumulation. However, heavily skewed market breadth—25 Buy signals against 34 Sell and 123 Hold ratings—demands disciplined stock-picking, steering institutional exposure toward secular growth names and cyclical leverage such as the model's top buys: BKNG, CF, PINS, and SHOP.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.