Market Brief — August 19, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 24 Buy / 128 Hold / 30 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: INTU.
Market Brief — August 19, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Mixed / caution | Mixed / caution. Payrolls softening. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.3% YoY, core +2.5% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.27%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 15.19, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.69pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.16%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.3%, VIX 15.2, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 24 bullish, 128 neutral, 30 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 35, confidence 83%.
- NEM (Newmont Corp.) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 83%.
- BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 83%.
- ALL (Allstate Corp.) — Buy, composite score 30, confidence 81%.
Most bearish names:
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -47.
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -37.
- DE (Deere & Co.) — Sell, score -31.
What to watch
With the Fed holding at 3.63% amid a 3.3% CPI print and a 15.2 VIX, the risk-on regime remains supportive as the upward-sloping curve signals growth expectations intact without immediate inflation panic. However, tracked breadth at 24 Buy / 128 Hold / 30 Sell reveals a market narrowly led rather than broadly robust, warranting selectivity over blind beta exposure. Watch INTU, NEM, BKNG, and ALL as institutional conviction names, but monitor for any CPI upside surprise or breadth deterioration that could test the durability of this rally.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.