Market Brief — August 15, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 24 Buy / 133 Hold / 25 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: INTU.
Market Brief — August 15, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Mixed / caution | Mixed / caution. Payrolls softening. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.3% YoY, core +2.5% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.24%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 14.63, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.67pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.16%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.3%, VIX 14.6, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 24 bullish, 133 neutral, 25 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 35, confidence 83%.
- ALL (Allstate Corp.) — Buy, composite score 35, confidence 81%.
- PINS (Pinterest Inc.) — Buy, composite score 31, confidence 64%.
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 30, confidence 82%.
Most bearish names:
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -43.
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -37.
- WBD (Warner Bros Discovery) — Sell, score -29.
What to watch
With the Fed on hold at 3.63% and inflation at 3.3%, the supportive macro backdrop keeps risk appetite intact, though the upward-sloping curve and low VIX suggest complacency is building. Breadth remains constructive but skewed to holds, so focus on selective longs like INTU, ALL, PINS, and CF rather than broad beta. Watch for any hawkish repricing in front-end yields or a VIX break above 16 to signal the current regime is losing its tailwind.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.