Market Brief — August 14, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 26 Buy / 130 Hold / 26 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: INTU.
Market Brief — August 14, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Mixed / caution | Mixed / caution. Payrolls softening. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.3% YoY, core +2.5% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.21%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 14.55, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.66pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.16%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.3%, VIX 14.6, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 26 bullish, 130 neutral, 26 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 35, confidence 83%.
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 31, confidence 82%.
- ALL (Allstate Corp.) — Buy, composite score 30, confidence 81%.
- BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 30, confidence 83%.
Most bearish names:
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -39.
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -35.
- DOW (Dow Inc.) — Sell, score -30.
What to watch
With the macro backdrop firmly risk-on, supported by a 3.3% CPI print, an upward-sloping curve, and a subdued 14.6 VIX, tracked positioning remains overwhelmingly defensive in conviction despite the supportive Fed funds rate at 3.63%. Investors should monitor whether the 130-to-26 Hold-to-Buy ratio breaks toward active accumulation, with current top buys INTU, CF, ALL, and BKNG signaling preference for secular growth and cyclical insurance over broad-based risk-taking. A sustained shift in breadth toward the 26 Sell names would mark the first indication that the supportive regime is fatiguing.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.