Market Brief — August 13, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 24 Buy / 127 Hold / 31 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: INTU.
Market Brief — August 13, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Mixed / caution | Mixed / caution. Payrolls softening. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.3% YoY, core +2.5% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.24%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 15.28, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.62pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.16%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.3%, VIX 15.3, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 24 bullish, 127 neutral, 31 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 33, confidence 83%.
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 30, confidence 82%.
- BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 30, confidence 83%.
- NEM (Newmont Corp.) — Buy, composite score 29, confidence 83%.
Most bearish names:
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -45.
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -37.
- DOW (Dow Inc.) — Sell, score -29.
What to watch
With the Fed funds rate at 3.63% and CPI moderating to 3.3%, a risk-on macro regime is supported by a subdued VIX at 15.3 and an upward-sloping yield curve. However, deteriorating market breadth—24 Buy / 127 Hold / 31 Sell—cautions against broad index exposure, warranting a highly selective approach. Focus on high-quality leaders such as INTU, CF, BKNG, and NEM to navigate this supportive yet narrow environment.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.