Market Brief — August 12, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 27 Buy / 123 Hold / 32 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: INTU.
Market Brief — August 12, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Mixed / caution | Mixed / caution. Payrolls softening. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.5% YoY, core +2.6% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.23%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 15.46, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.62pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.06%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.5%, VIX 15.5, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 27 bullish, 123 neutral, 32 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 35, confidence 83%.
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 31, confidence 82%.
- PINS (Pinterest Inc.) — Buy, composite score 31, confidence 64%.
- BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 30, confidence 83%.
Most bearish names:
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -46.
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -37.
- SBUX (Starbucks Corp.) — Sell, score -29.
What to watch
With the Fed holding at 3.63% and CPI at 3.5%, the upward-sloping curve and subdued 15.5 VIX confirm a supportive risk-on backdrop, though market breadth remains cautious with only 27 Buy signals against 123 Holds and 32 Sells. Watch secular growth and travel demand leadership in INTU, PINS, and BKNG, alongside ag-input strength in CF, as potential alpha drivers as the market digests sticky inflation against an accommodative policy path.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.