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Aug 11, 2026 · FilingSight Research

Market Brief — August 11, 2026

Risk-on · Supportive. 25 Buy / 125 Hold / 32 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: NEM.

MacroDaily BriefRates

Market Brief — August 11, 2026

Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.

Macro regime

Risk-on · Supportive.

Gauge Status Detail
Growth & Recession Gauge Mixed / caution Mixed / caution. Payrolls softening.
Inflation Regime Moderating Moderating. Headline CPI +3.5% YoY, core +2.6% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.25%.
Financial Conditions Neutral Neutral. VIX 14.90, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.64pp.
Policy Stance Near neutral Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.06%.

Rates & inflation

Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.5%, VIX 14.9, yield curve upward-sloping.

Coverage breadth

Across 182 tracked names: 25 bullish, 125 neutral, 32 bearish outlook.

Highest-conviction bullish names:

  • NEM (Newmont Corp.) — Buy, composite score 36, confidence 83%.
  • CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 34, confidence 82%.
  • INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 33, confidence 83%.
  • ALL (Allstate Corp.) — Buy, composite score 33, confidence 81%.

Most bearish names:

  • TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -45.
  • ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -37.
  • SBUX (Starbucks Corp.) — Sell, score -29.

What to watch

With the Fed funds rate at 3.63% and CPI moderating to 3.5%, the supportive risk-on regime is underscored by a subdued VIX at 14.9 and a normalized upward-sloping curve, though heavily lopsided breadth of 25 Buy versus 125 Hold and 32 Sell signals warrants selectivity. Capital is rotating into quality growth and select cyclicals, evidenced by top buy signals in INTU and ALL alongside hard-asset proxies NEM and CF, suggesting institutional positioning is anchoring on earnings resilience and commodity leverage rather than broad-based beta exposure. Monitor whether breadth tightens further or if cooling inflation expectations can unlock broader participation beneath the surface calm.

FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.

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