Market Brief — August 9, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 24 Buy / 129 Hold / 29 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: INTU.
Market Brief — August 9, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Mixed / caution | Mixed / caution. Payrolls softening. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.5% YoY, core +2.6% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.22%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 15.15, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.61pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.06%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.5%, VIX 15.2, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 24 bullish, 129 neutral, 29 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 35, confidence 83%.
- ALL (Allstate Corp.) — Buy, composite score 33, confidence 81%.
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 30, confidence 82%.
- BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 30, confidence 83%.
Most bearish names:
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -45.
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -37.
- DOW (Dow Inc.) — Sell, score -29.
What to watch
With the Fed holding at 3.63% and CPI sticky at 3.5%, the upward-sloping curve and subdued 15.2 VIX confirm a risk-on backdrop, though deteriorating breadth—24 buys against 29 sells—warrants selectivity. Watch INTU, ALL, CF, and BKNG for leadership, but monitor whether the thin advance can sustain momentum or if narrowing participation signals fatigue beneath a supportive macro surface.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.