Market Brief — August 8, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 26 Buy / 128 Hold / 28 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: INTU.
Market Brief — August 8, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Mixed / caution | Mixed / caution. Payrolls softening. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.5% YoY, core +2.6% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.22%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 15.15, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.61pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.06%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.5%, VIX 15.2, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 26 bullish, 128 neutral, 28 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 35, confidence 83%.
- ALL (Allstate Corp.) — Buy, composite score 33, confidence 81%.
- BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 30, confidence 83%.
- PINS (Pinterest Inc.) — Buy, composite score 30, confidence 64%.
Most bearish names:
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -45.
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -37.
- SBUX (Starbucks Corp.) — Sell, score -29.
What to watch
With the Fed funds rate at 3.63% and CPI stabilizing at 3.5%, the supportive risk-on regime is underpinned by a gentle upward-sloping yield curve and subdued volatility at 15.2 on the VIX. However, institutional breadth reveals a defensive tilt beneath the surface, as the 128 Hold signals heavily outweigh 26 Buys and 28 Sells, suggesting allocators are pausing for confirmation rather than chasing momentum. Monitor whether mega-cap strength can pull lagging sectors higher, with INTU, ALL, BKNG, and PINS emerging as high-conviction leadership candidates if breadth begins to improve.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.