Market Brief — August 4, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 28 Buy / 123 Hold / 31 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: INTU.
Market Brief — August 4, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Healthy | Healthy. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.5% YoY, core +2.6% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.23%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 15.99, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.63pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.06%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.5%, VIX 16.0, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 28 bullish, 123 neutral, 31 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 35, confidence 83%.
- GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.) — Buy, composite score 35, confidence 65%.
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 34, confidence 82%.
- ALL (Allstate Corp.) — Buy, composite score 33, confidence 81%.
Most bearish names:
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -44.
- WBD (Warner Bros Discovery) — Sell, score -39.
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -37.
What to watch
With the macro backdrop firmly risk-on amid a supportive Fed funds rate at 3.63% and a benign CPI print of 3.5%, the upward-sloping yield curve and subdued VIX at 16.0 are enabling broad market participation, though tracked breadth of 28 Buy / 123 Hold / 31 Sell signals a selective rather than euphoric advance. Watch whether mega-cap tech leadership—anchored by GOOGL and INTU alongside cyclical names like CF and ALL—can sustain the bid and pull the sidelined Hold ratings into Buy territory, as any inflation surprise or steepening acceleration would quickly test the durability of this low-volatility grind higher.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.