Market Brief — August 3, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 24 Buy / 127 Hold / 31 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: INTU.
Market Brief — August 3, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Healthy | Healthy. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.5% YoY, core +2.6% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.26%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 17.09, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.64pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.06%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.5%, VIX 17.1, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 24 bullish, 127 neutral, 31 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 35, confidence 83%.
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 34, confidence 82%.
- ALL (Allstate Corp.) — Buy, composite score 33, confidence 81%.
- BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 83%.
Most bearish names:
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -44.
- WBD (Warner Bros Discovery) — Sell, score -39.
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -36.
What to watch
With the Fed holding at 3.63% amid a still-elevated 3.5% CPI print, the supportive risk-on regime persists as the upward-sloping curve and tempered VIX at 17.1 signal constructive but hardly euphoric conditions. Institutional breadth skews toward patient accumulation with 127 Hold ratings dwarfing 24 Buys, though selective conviction is surfacing in INTU, CF, ALL, and BKNG, suggesting investors are leaning into secular growth and pricing power over broad-based beta exposure. Watch for any inflation surprises that could steepen the curve further and test the durability of this cautious risk appetite.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.