Market Brief — August 2, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 24 Buy / 127 Hold / 31 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: INTU.
Market Brief — August 2, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Healthy | Healthy. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.5% YoY, core +2.6% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.26%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 17.09, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.64pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.06%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.5%, VIX 17.1, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 24 bullish, 127 neutral, 31 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 35, confidence 83%.
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 34, confidence 82%.
- ALL (Allstate Corp.) — Buy, composite score 33, confidence 81%.
- BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 83%.
Most bearish names:
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -44.
- WBD (Warner Bros Discovery) — Sell, score -39.
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -36.
What to watch
With the Fed funds rate at 3.63% and CPI moderating to 3.5%, the supportive risk-on regime is intact as evidenced by a subdued VIX at 17.1 and an upward-sloping curve, though the heavily defensive tracked breadth of 127 Hold versus 24 Buy names suggests institutional positioning remains cautiously selective rather than aggressively pro-cyclical. Against this backdrop, watch the top buy signals in INTU, CF, ALL, and BKNG for confirmation that capital is rotating into quality growth and resilient consumer exposure, but treat the outsized hold weighting as a warning that breadth must broaden beyond isolated leaders to sustain the equity rally.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.