Market Brief — August 1, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 25 Buy / 126 Hold / 31 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: INTU.
Market Brief — August 1, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Healthy | Healthy. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.5% YoY, core +2.6% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.26%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 17.09, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.64pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.06%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.5%, VIX 17.1, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 25 bullish, 126 neutral, 31 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 35, confidence 83%.
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 34, confidence 82%.
- BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 83%.
- ALL (Allstate Corp.) — Buy, composite score 31, confidence 81%.
Most bearish names:
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -44.
- WBD (Warner Bros Discovery) — Sell, score -42.
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -36.
What to watch
With the macro backdrop firmly risk-on amid a supportive Fed and a re-steepening curve, monitor whether breadth can sustain leadership beyond mega-cap tech as 126 names hold in neutral territory. Watch INTU, CF, BKNG, and ALL for confirmation that institutional capital is rotating into software, fertilizers, travel, and insurers, though elevated CPI at 3.5% warrants vigilance for any hawkish repricing that could disrupt the VIX-17 calm.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.