Market Brief — July 31, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 26 Buy / 125 Hold / 31 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: INTU.
Market Brief — July 31, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Healthy | Healthy. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.5% YoY, core +2.6% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.24%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 20.66, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.60pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.06%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.5%, VIX 20.7, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 26 bullish, 125 neutral, 31 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 35, confidence 83%.
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 34, confidence 82%.
- ALL (Allstate Corp.) — Buy, composite score 33, confidence 81%.
- BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 83%.
Most bearish names:
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -44.
- WBD (Warner Bros Discovery) — Sell, score -42.
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -36.
What to watch
With the macro backdrop risk-on and supportive amid a 3.5% CPI print and a gently easing Fed, watch whether the upward-sloping curve and VIX near 21 can sustain the broad market's momentum given heavily defensive tracked breadth of 26 Buy versus 31 Sell. The concentrated leadership in INTU, CF, ALL, and BKNG signals quality and cyclical resilience, but the 125 Hold majority suggests institutions are waiting for a clearer disinflationary impulse before committing capital. Monitor this week's data for confirmation that the soft-landing narrative holds without reigniting rate-cut expectations prematurely.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.