Market Brief — July 30, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 27 Buy / 127 Hold / 28 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: CF.
Market Brief — July 30, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Healthy | Healthy. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.5% YoY, core +2.6% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.24%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 18.21, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.62pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.06%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.5%, VIX 18.2, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 27 bullish, 127 neutral, 28 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 34, confidence 82%.
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 33, confidence 83%.
- ALL (Allstate Corp.) — Buy, composite score 33, confidence 81%.
- BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 83%.
Most bearish names:
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -44.
- WBD (Warner Bros Discovery) — Sell, score -42.
- SBUX (Starbucks Corp.) — Sell, score -29.
What to watch
With the Fed funds rate at 3.63% and CPI YoY at 3.5%, the supportive risk-on regime is holding, though the narrow tracked breadth of 27 Buy / 127 Hold / 28 Sell signals caution beneath the surface of a VIX at 18.2. Watch whether high-quality leadership from names like INTU and BKNG can broaden participation, or if the thin advance narrows further and undermines the upward-sloping curve's constructive signal.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.