Market Brief — July 29, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 30 Buy / 124 Hold / 28 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: INTU.
Market Brief — July 29, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Healthy | Healthy. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.5% YoY, core +2.6% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.16%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 18.67, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.61pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.06%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.5%, VIX 18.7, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 30 bullish, 124 neutral, 28 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 35, confidence 83%.
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 34, confidence 82%.
- ALL (Allstate Corp.) — Buy, composite score 33, confidence 81%.
- BKNG (Booking Holdings) — Buy, composite score 31, confidence 83%.
Most bearish names:
- WBD (Warner Bros Discovery) — Sell, score -41.
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -35.
- DOW (Dow Inc.) — Sell, score -29.
What to watch
With the Fed holding accommodative and real rates comfortably below restrictive territory, the risk-on regime remains well-supported by a constructively sloped curve and contained volatility near 18.7, though breadth across tracked names is distinctly narrow at 124 Hold versus just 30 Buy signals. Focus this week on whether cyclical leaders like CF and BKNG can sustain upside momentum alongside defensive quality intake in INTU and ALL, which would confirm a durable regime rather than a low-participation melt-up.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.