Market Brief — July 19, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 29 Buy / 119 Hold / 34 Sell across 182 names. Top conviction: ALL.
Market Brief — July 19, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Healthy | Healthy. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.5% YoY, core +2.6% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.27%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 16.73, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.59pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.06%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.5%, VIX 16.7, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 182 tracked names: 29 bullish, 119 neutral, 34 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- ALL (Allstate Corp.) — Buy, composite score 33, confidence 81%.
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 83%.
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 82%.
- META (Meta Platforms Inc.) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 65%.
Most bearish names:
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -44.
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -40.
- HON (Honeywell International) — Sell, score -32.
What to watch
With the Fed funds rate at 3.63% and CPI cooling to 3.5% amid a supportive risk-on regime, the upward-sloping yield curve and subdued VIX at 16.7 underscore a constructive backdrop for equities, though tracked breadth of 29 Buy / 119 Hold / 34 Sell suggests conviction remains narrow rather than broad-based. Mega-cap technology and selective industrials are capturing the flows, with META, INTU, ALL, and CF emerging as top buy signals, indicating investors are leaning into quality growth and cyclical resilience rather than chasing widespread beta.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.