Market Brief — July 18, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 28 Buy / 119 Hold / 34 Sell across 181 names. Top conviction: ALL.
Market Brief — July 18, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Healthy | Healthy. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +3.5% YoY, core +2.6% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.27%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 16.73, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.59pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 1.06%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 3.5%, VIX 16.7, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 181 tracked names: 28 bullish, 119 neutral, 34 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- ALL (Allstate Corp.) — Buy, composite score 33, confidence 81%.
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 83%.
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 82%.
- META (Meta Platforms Inc.) — Buy, composite score 32, confidence 65%.
Most bearish names:
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -44.
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -40.
- HON (Honeywell International) — Sell, score -32.
What to watch
The macro backdrop remains firmly risk-on with a supportive Fed at 3.63%, above-target CPI at 3.5%, and a low VIX of 16.7 alongside a steepening yield curve. Our tracked breadth is heavily tilted to Hold at 119, but the 28 Buy signals—led by ALL, INTU, CF, and META—suggest selective opportunity in insurance, software, fertilizers, and mega-cap tech. Focus on these names for relative strength in a low-volatility, pro-risk environment.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.