Market Brief — July 14, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 24 Buy / 126 Hold / 31 Sell across 181 names. Top conviction: CF.
Market Brief — July 14, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Healthy | Healthy. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +4.2% YoY, core +2.8% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.31%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 15.03, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.58pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 0.81%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 4.2%, VIX 15.0, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 181 tracked names: 24 bullish, 126 neutral, 31 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 31, confidence 82%.
- META (Meta Platforms Inc.) — Buy, composite score 31, confidence 65%.
- ALL (Allstate Corp.) — Buy, composite score 30, confidence 81%.
- INTU (Intuit Inc.) — Buy, composite score 29, confidence 83%.
Most bearish names:
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -40.
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -40.
- HON (Honeywell International) — Sell, score -30.
What to watch
With the Fed at 3.63% and headline CPI cooling to 4.2%, supportive financial conditions are keeping the VIX pinned at 15 and the positively sloped curve steepening, though tracked breadth of 24 Buy versus 31 Sell signals reveals a risk-on tape that remains narrow beneath the surface. Focus this week on whether mega-cap momentum in names like META and INTU can broaden the advance, or if the dominance of 126 Hold signals foretells a consolidation phase as markets test the durability of disinflation.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.