Market Brief — July 11, 2026
Risk-on · Supportive. 24 Buy / 126 Hold / 31 Sell across 181 names. Top conviction: CF.
Market Brief — July 11, 2026
Auto-generated by FilingSight from live FRED macro data and the latest SEC-derived company reports.
Macro regime
Risk-on · Supportive.
| Gauge | Status | Detail |
|---|---|---|
| Growth & Recession Gauge | Healthy | Healthy. |
| Inflation Regime | Moderating | Moderating. Headline CPI +4.2% YoY, core +2.8% YoY; 5Y breakeven 2.28%. |
| Financial Conditions | Neutral | Neutral. VIX 15.84, BAA-10Y credit spread 1.56pp. |
| Policy Stance | Near neutral | Near neutral. Fed funds 3.63%, real rate 0.81%. |
Rates & inflation
Fed funds 3.63%, headline CPI YoY 4.2%, VIX 15.8, yield curve upward-sloping.
Coverage breadth
Across 181 tracked names: 24 bullish, 126 neutral, 31 bearish outlook.
Highest-conviction bullish names:
- CF (CF Industries) — Buy, composite score 31, confidence 82%.
- META (Meta Platforms Inc.) — Buy, composite score 31, confidence 65%.
- ALL (Allstate Corp.) — Buy, composite score 30, confidence 81%.
- UBER (Uber Technologies) — Buy, composite score 28, confidence 83%.
Most bearish names:
- TSLA (Tesla Inc.) — Sell, score -42.
- ON (ON Semiconductor Corp.) — Sell, score -41.
- DOW (Dow Inc.) — Sell, score -33.
What to watch
With the Fed funds rate at 3.63% and CPI decelerating to 4.2% alongside a subdued VIX of 15.8, the supportive risk-on backdrop is encouraging a constructive but selective market stance, as evidenced by tracked breadth showing 126 Holds against just 24 Buys. Investors should monitor whether shifting rate-cut expectations can further broaden participation beyond high-quality leaders like META and UBER, or if lingering inflation will keep the upward-sloping yield curve anchored and limit sustained upside in cyclical names like CF.
FilingSight is informational and educational only, generated from public data. Not investment advice.